Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Lamar Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Fant-Ewing Coliseum, Monroe, LA
Game Overview
The UL Monroe Warhawks (1-3) host the Lamar Cardinals (1-1) in a Sun Belt Conference matchup. Lamar is the clear favorite with a -8.5 point spread and heavy moneyline odds at -500. The total points line is set at 145.5, reflecting moderate scoring expectations.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lamar averages 79.0 points/game, shooting 47.2% overall and 36.2% from three, with recent competitive performance including a close loss to TCU. UL Monroe averages 58.7 points/game with lower shooting efficiency and is 0-3 in their last five games, showing struggles on both offense and defense.
- Recent matchups show Lamar generally outperforming UL Monroe with Lamar winning three of the last four meetings. Lamar is also 10-2-1 ATS recently as an underdog, indicating good value finds historically against the spread.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting key players or rotations at this time.
- Game played at UL Monroeβs venue gives home court advantage to Warhawks. However, Lamar has struggled in night games on the road, while UL Monroe has similarly poor results in night games overall.
- Lamar seeks to rebound from a tough non-conference loss and maintain strong form entering conference play, showing strong motivation as slight underdogs away from home. UL Monroe needs to find rhythm after multiple losses and will be motivated by home support.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home_ULMonroe: +360, away_Lamar: -500 | Lamar Cardinals | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Lamar_-8.5: -110, ULMonroe_+8.5: -110 | Lamar Cardinals -8.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over_145.5: -110, Under_145.5: -114 | Under 145.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lamar Cardinals -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lamar Cardinals to cover the -8.5 spread confidently and win straight up, with the total projected to go under 145.5 based on both teams' recent defensive tendencies and scoring trends.
Predicted Score: Lamar Cardinals 77 – UL Monroe Warhawks 65