Match Analysis: Charleston Cougars vs Drake Bulldogs - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 17, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: TD Arena, Charleston, SC
Game Overview
Charleston Cougars (2-2) host Drake Bulldogs (2-2) in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter with identical records and are looking to build momentum. Charleston is favored as the home team, but Drake has shown defensive resilience and defensive efficiency that could keep this closer than the spread suggests.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charleston averages 79.75 PPG with 75.75 PPAG, showing offensive strength but defensive vulnerability. Drake scores 76.00 PPG while allowing 66.00 PPAG, indicating a more defensive-minded approach. Charleston shoots 42.35% from the field and 38% from three, while Drake holds opponents to 38.35% FG and 32.46% 3PT%. Drake's turnover margin (+2 per game) and effective field goal defense (45% allowed) represent key strengths. Charleston is 1-2 in their last 5 games and 0-2 ATS in road games, while Drake went 0-3 ATS recently.
- No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be a matchup between non-conference opponents with limited direct comparison.
- No injury information is available in the provided data.
- The game is televised on FloCollege. Charleston plays at home with the advantage of familiar surroundings and crowd support. Drake is traveling on the road but has shown the ability to compete in high-level matchups (competitive loss to Virginia Tech as +12.5 underdog).
- Both teams are seeking to improve on 2-2 starts. Charleston has struggled recently (1-2 in last 5). Drake appears motivated after a blowout win and competitive performance against a major program, despite the Virginia Tech loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston -280 / Drake +225 | Drake Bulldogs | β β βββ 42% |
| Spread | Charleston -5.5 (-120) / Drake +5.5 (-102) | Drake +5.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5 (-114) / Under 147.5 (-106) | Under 147.5 | β β β ββ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charleston Cougars 140% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charleston Cougars at 140% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Drake Bulldogs represent the best value in this matchup. Their elite defensive profile (38.35% opponent FG, 32.46% opponent 3PT) matches up favorably against Charleston's mid-pack offensive efficiency. The Bulldogs' turnover margin advantage and ability to play effective road defense suggest they will keep this game within the spread. Charleston's recent 1-2 form and home struggles ATS are additional red flags for the favorite.
Predicted Score: Charleston 74, Drake 71
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