Match Analysis: Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Little Caesars Arena
Game Overview
The Detroit Pistons (11-2) host the Indiana Pacers (1-12) in a matchup between the Eastern Conference's best and worst teams. Detroit rides a nine-game win streak and leads the East, while Indiana seeks to snap a seven-game skid and has the league's worst record. The Pistons are dominant at home and defensively, while the Pacers struggle offensively and as underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit is 11-2 overall, 6-1 at home, and 5-0 in their last five games. They rank second in defensive efficiency, allowing 112.2 points per game. Indiana is 1-12, 0-7 away, and has lost seven straight. They rank last in offensive efficiency and are averaging 108.7 points per game.
- The Pacers won three of the last four meetings, but Detroit has covered the spread in three of the last four matchups. The Pacers hold a 2-1-1 edge against the spread in recent H2H.
- Detroit's Cade Cunningham is questionable with a hip injury. His absence would hurt Detroit's offense, but the Pistons have depth and have won without him recently.
- Detroit is heavily favored (81% win probability), with 76% of public bets on the Pistons. The over has hit in 3 of Detroit's last 5 games and 5 of their last 8 at home.
- Detroit is fighting for the top seed and home-court advantage. Indiana is desperate to end their losing streak but faces a tough road test against the league's best defense.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -440, away: 340 | Detroit Pistons | Not available |
| Spread | home: -9.5, away: 9.5 | Detroit Pistons -9.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 230.5, under: 230.5 | Over 230.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Detroit Pistons -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 230.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 230.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Pistons win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total.
Predicted Score: Detroit Pistons 124 – Indiana Pacers 106