Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 17, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL
Game Overview
UCF Knights (3-1) host Oakland Golden Grizzlies (1-3) in a non-conference matchup. UCF enters as heavy favorites after defeating Texas A&M 86-74, shooting efficiently across all categories. Oakland has struggled significantly this season and faces their toughest test against a UCF team that has dominated home non-conference opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- UCF is 3-1 with impressive efficiency metrics (50% FG, 50% 3P, 94% FT vs Texas A&M). Oakland is 1-3 with significant struggles on the road and in night games. UCF has won 18 of 19 last home night games against non-conference opponents. Oakland has lost 9 of their last 10 night games against non-conference opponents.
- No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This is a non-conference matchup.
- No injury information available in provided search results.
- Oakland arriving in Orlando with potential rest disadvantage. Home court advantage is significant for UCF in this matchup. 14 of UCF's last 15 night non-conference games stayed under 160 points. 20 of Oakland's last 22 non-conference games produced 158 or fewer total points.
- UCF seeking to maintain momentum after impressive victory over Texas A&M. Oakland desperately needs a win to improve 1-3 record. UCF's home arena is a fortress in these matchups.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oakland +580 | UCF -880 | UCF Knights | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Oakland +11.5 -102 | UCF -11.5 -120 | UCF -11.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 161.5 -108 | Under 161.5 -112 | Under 161.5 | β β β β β 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UCF Knights -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 161.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 161.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UCF Knights win decisively with the total staying under. The sharp disparity in team quality, combined with UCF's dominant home record against similar competition and Oakland's road struggles, creates a clear value edge on the favorite.
Predicted Score: UCF 72, Oakland 58