Match Analysis: Siena Saints vs Colgate Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: MVP Arena, Albany, NY
Game Overview
The Siena Saints, favored at home, face the Colgate Raiders in their first meeting since 2019. Siena holds a better recent record (2-1) compared to Colgate (1-3) and has shown strong against-the-spread performance recently, while Colgate has excelled in shooting efficiency in their last win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Siena averages 70 points per game with a 42.4% FG shooting and a solid rebounding rate (37.7 RPG). Colgate scores slightly higher at 74.7 PPG with better shooting percentages (49.4% FG, 37.7% 3PT, 83.7% FT). Siena has been better ATS recently, going 3-0 in last 5.
- This is their first meeting since Siena's 72-62 loss in November 2019. Historical data with similar lines show home favorites like Siena win 73.3% of such games and cover spreads just above 50%.
- No significant injury information available for key players on either side; both squads appear at full strength.
- Game hosted at MVP Arena in Albany, giving Siena home court advantage. Colgate faced tougher recent opposition on the road, which could impact fatigue but also shows their preparedness.
- Siena is motivated to capitalize on home advantage early in the season and continue positive ATS trends. Colgate seeks to rebound from mixed results and prove strength against a favored opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Siena -260 | Siena Saints | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Siena -5.5 -112 | Siena Saints -5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Under 150.5 -116 | Under 150.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Siena Saints -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 150.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Siena Saints to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 5.5-point spread, and the game to go under 150.5 points.
Predicted Score: Siena Saints 76 – Colgate Raiders 68