Match Analysis: Ohio Bobcats vs UMass Minutemen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 19, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Frank Solich Field at Peden Stadium, Athens, Ohio
Game Overview
Ohio Bobcats (6-4) host winless UMass Minutemen (0-10) in a Week 13 MAC Conference matchup. This represents a catastrophic talent and form disparity, with Ohio heavily favored to dominate a UMass team in complete organizational freefall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ohio averages 27.1 PPG (65th nationally) while allowing 23.5 PPG (61st). UMass is historically inept offensively at 10.5 PPG (136th nationally) and leaky defensively at 37.6 PPG allowed (133rd). Recent evidence is damning: NIU, which hadn't scored on anyone all season, demolished UMass 48-21 at home. Ohio's rushing attack is elite (5.02 YPC, 22 TDs vs UMass's 2.8 YPC, 6 TDs). UMass has committed 7 turnovers vs Ohio's turnovers, indicating ball security issues.
- No recent H2H data available in search results. Historical context suggests Ohio has dominated this matchup given the extreme performance gulf.
- No injury information available in provided search results.
- Game time is late-night Wednesday (12:00 AM UTC), which creates minimal advantage for either team. Weather forecast shows 41-54Β°F with 29-54% rain probability and 4 mph wind, neutral conditions that won't significantly impact Ohio's dominant rushing game.
- Ohio has bowl aspirations and needs wins; UMass is playing for pride only at 0-10. This motivation gap is substantial. Ohio's recent form shows competitiveness in the MAC; UMass has zero wins and is mathematically eliminated from postseason contention.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio -10000 | UMass +3000 | Ohio Bobcats ML | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | Ohio -31.5 (-110) | UMass +31.5 (-110) | Ohio -31.5 | β β β β β 92% |
| Over/under | Over 51.5 (-110) | Under 51.5 (-110) | Over 51.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio Bobcats -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 51.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ohio Bobcats will decisively defeat UMass Minutemen by covering a massive spread and easily surpassing the total. This is a mismatch game with one team significantly superior in all phases.
Predicted Score: Ohio 52, UMass 17 (Final: 52-17)