Match Analysis: Northern Illinois Huskies vs Western Michigan Broncos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 19, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium, DeKalb
Game Overview
Western Michigan (6-4) travels to face Northern Illinois (3-7) in a Mid-American Conference matchup. Western Michigan is a clear favorite with superior offensive and defensive metrics, while Northern Illinois enters this contest in freefall with one win in their last five games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Western Michigan averages 21.8 points per game (110th nationally) with a strong defense allowing 18.4 PPG (18th). Northern Illinois struggles offensively at 15.5 PPG (133rd) and defensively at 22.2 PPG (47th). Western Michigan has covered the spread in 7 of 10 matchups this season. Northern Illinois is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- No specific recent H2H data provided in search results. This appears to be a MAC conference matchup.
- No injury information available in provided search results.
- Game conditions at DeKalb show 45Β°F with 0% rain probability and 8 mph windβfavorable for both teams. Western Michigan's defense ranking (18th) vs Northern Illinois' poor offensive efficiency (133rd) creates a significant competitive advantage.
- Western Michigan maintains bowl eligibility at 6-4 and can strengthen their postseason case. Northern Illinois at 3-7 is likely playing out the string with minimal postseason prospects, potentially affecting competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | WMU -225 | NIU +188 | Western Michigan Moneyline | β β β β β 76% |
| Spread | WMU -6.5 (-105) | NIU +6.5 (-115) | Western Michigan -6.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 38.5 (-110) | Under 38.5 (-110) | Under 38.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Western Michigan Broncos 87% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 38.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Western Michigan Broncos at 87% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Western Michigan defeats Northern Illinois convincingly. The Broncos' defensive prowess combined with Northern Illinois' historically poor offensive output creates a high-confidence winner. Expect a 23-15 final favoring Western Michigan.
Predicted Score: Western Michigan 23, Northern Illinois 15