Match Analysis: Colorado Avalanche vs New York Islanders - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-17
- Time: 2:10 AM UTC
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Game Overview
The Colorado Avalanche (12-1-5) host the New York Islanders (10-6-2) at Ball Arena. Avalanche are strong home favorites with a solid record at home and look to extend their form, while the Islanders come on a 4-game winning streak and momentum from recent overtime contests.
Key Factors to Consider
- Avalanche have a superior overall record and are undefeated at home in 8 games this season. Islanders have won 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 games as underdogs but have played multiple recent overtime games which might cause fatigue.
- Recent head-to-head has favored the Islanders with 2 straight wins, outscoring Colorado 11-4 in those contests; historically, Islanders swept last seasonβs meetings but overall have won 3 of last 9 vs Avalanche.
- No major injuries reported impacting either team significantly at this moment.
- Avalanche benefit from home-ice advantage and rest; Islanders faces possible fatigue due to 3 consecutive overtime games in recent week.
- Avalanche are motivated to maintain their dominant home form and extend their league-leading points tally. Islanders motivated to continue their winning streak and prove resilience against strong opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Avalanche -258 / New York Islanders +210 | Colorado Avalanche | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Colorado Avalanche -1.5 -105 / New York Islanders +1.5 -115 | Colorado Avalanche -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 -105 / Under 6.5 -115 | Over 6.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Avalanche -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 6.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Avalanche to win moneyline, Colorado Avalanche to cover the -1.5 spread, and the total to go over 6.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Colorado Avalanche 4 - New York Islanders 3
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