Match Analysis: Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-17
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: PHX Arena, Phoenix, Arizona
Game Overview
The Phoenix Suns (8-5) host the Atlanta Hawks (8-5) in a tightly matched contest. Both teams are on winning streaks, with the Suns winning five straight and the Hawks four consecutive games. The line is close, with the Hawks favored by 1.5 points and the total set at 231.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Suns average 118.5 PPG, slightly edging out the Hawks' 117.1 PPG, with both teams showing strong offensive outputs. Phoenix has a 6-1 home record and a 7-1-1 ATS record, demonstrating strong performance at home and against the spread. The Hawks have a notable 6-2 road record but are less consistent ATS away (2-3-1).
- Phoenix holds a recent advantage with 6 wins in 8 home H2H matchups against the Hawks, including a recent 123-115 win. The Suns have also shot better field goal percentages against the Hawks' defensive averages.
- No critical injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team, supporting full-strength competition.
- Home court advantage favors the Suns, with an excellent home winning rate. Betting market probabilities and odds show a nearly even win probability splitβ52% Hawks, 48% Sunsβwith slightly better moneyline pricing for the Suns as underdogs.
- Both teams are motivated to extend their winning streaks early in the season. The Suns seek to maintain home dominance and capitalize on recent form. The Hawks aim to build on their strong road performances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns +105 | Phoenix Suns Moneyline | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Phoenix Suns +1.5 -110 | Phoenix Suns +1.5 Spread | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Under 231.5 -110 | Under 231.5 Points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 231.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 231.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on the Phoenix Suns to win outright on the moneyline, cover the +1.5 point spread, and take the under on the total points scored.
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 117 – Atlanta Hawks 114