Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-17
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center
Game Overview
Golden State Warriors (8-6) face the New Orleans Pelicans (2-10) in New Orleans on Sunday, November 16, 2025. The Warriors are heavy favorites on the road, with the Pelicans struggling defensively and reeling from a coaching change and multiple injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
- Warriors rank 10th in defensive efficiency and have won 4 of their last 5 games, including a dramatic win in San Antonio. Pelicans rank 28th in defensive efficiency, allowing 121.3 points per game, and have lost 4 straight, including 3 by 30+ points.
- Warriors have dominated recent matchups, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings. Golden State has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head games.
- Zion Williamson is questionable (hamstring), Jordan Poole (quadriceps) is out another week. Warriors are relatively healthy, with no major injuries reported.
- Pelicans fired head coach Willie Green on Saturday, creating major instability. Smoothie King Center atmosphere may be subdued due to team turmoil and poor record.
- Warriors are motivated to solidify playoff positioning. Pelicans are demoralized and in rebuilding mode after firing their coach and enduring a losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -500 | Golden State Warriors | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | -10.5 -108 | Golden State Warriors -10.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | 227.5 -110 | Over | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Golden State Warriors -2% |
| Spread | Golden State Warriors -10.5 43% |
| Over/Under | Over 227.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Golden State Warriors -10.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Golden State Warriors to win and cover the spread, with a high-scoring game.
Predicted Score: 122-104