Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs UMass Lowell River Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum
Game Overview
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-1) hosts UMass Lowell River Hawks (1-3) in what appears to be a highly uneven matchup favoring Wake Forest both in talent and recent performance. Wake Forest has the home-court advantage and a solid record, while UMass Lowell has struggled significantly in recent games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wake Forest is 2-1 overall with strong defensive showings, especially at home (2-0). UMass Lowell is 1-3 with a negative point differential; their defense has been porous allowing high scoring from opponents.
- Limited recent matchups, but Wake Forest's superior conference strength and talent level give them a clear edge.
- No significant injury reports impacting Wake Forest; UMass Lowellβs squad appears intact but lacks depth and star impact.
- Wake Forest benefits from hosting the game at the Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum, enhancing the home-court edge.
- Wake Forest appears motivated to maintain momentum early in the season to build confidence, while UMass Lowell seeks to escape a losing streak but lacks resources to challenge top-tier teams.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -30000, away: 4000 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | home: -28.5 -110, away: +28.5 -110 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -28.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: 163.5 -115, under: 163.5 -105 | Under 163.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win comfortably, covering the large spread and with the total scoring going under the posted line.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest 90 – UMass Lowell 60