Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. UMass Lowell River Hawks Prediction – Archive 2025-11-16
NCAAB in Basketball
Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs UMass Lowell River Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Lawrence Joel Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Winston-Salem
Game Overview
Wake Forest Demon Deacons host UMass Lowell River Hawks in a significant mismatch. Wake Forest is coming in with a solid 2-1 record, undefeated at home (2-0), while UMass Lowell struggles at 1-3 overall and 0-2 away. Betting markets heavily favor Wake Forest with extremely short moneyline odds and a large -28.5 spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wake Forestβs defense and home court dominance is evident, allowing 224 points in 3 games vs UMass Lowellβs porous defense giving up 324 points in 4 games. Wake Forest's offense is efficient and balanced, contributing to a strong average scoring margin (+29). UMass Lowell shows poor form with a three-game losing streak.
- Limited or no recent head-to-head data available, but Wake Forestβs ACC pedigree and higher quality opposition all season indicates a substantial class gap favoring Wake Forest.
- No significant injuries reported for either side impacting the game outcome.
- Venue advantage strongly favors Wake Forest playing at home. No travel or external disruptions noted. Public betting heavily backs Wake Forest moneyline and spread.
- Wake Forest motivated to maintain home dominance early in the season and build momentum, while UMass Lowell faces morale challenge given current losing streak and heavy underdog status.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest -30000 / UMass Lowell +4000 | Wake Forest | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Wake Forest -28.5 -110 / UMass Lowell +28.5 -110 | Wake Forest -28.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 163.5 -115 / Under 163.5 -105 | Under 163.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win comfortably, cover the -28.5 spread, and the game to stay under the total points line of 163.5.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest 88 – UMass Lowell 57