Match Analysis: Massachusetts Minutemen vs Central Connecticut St Blue Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: William D. Mullins Center, Amherst, MA
Game Overview
Massachusetts Minutemen, playing at home with a slight recent edge, face Central Connecticut State Blue Devils. Both teams hold a 2-1 record, but UMASS is favored significantly by sportsbooks due to better home performance and deeper roster quality.
Key Factors to Consider
- UMASS is 2-1 overall and 8-4 on the road in recent spreads, showing consistent form. Central Connecticut State is 2-1 but less tested against quality opposition. UMASS shoots better FG% (47%) vs 43% for Central Conn and dominates rebounds (44.67 vs 33) per game recently.
- Recent head-to-head data show UMASS typically covers the line against Central Connecticut State. Past meetings project UMASS as the stronger and more consistent team overall.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, suggesting both squads should be close to full strength.
- The game is played at UMASS home court, Mullins Center, providing strong home advantage. Public betting heavily favors UMASS moneyline and spread.
- UMASS keen to maintain strong home form early in the season and avoid early losses. Central Connecticut State may struggle to keep pace and cover the spread on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UMASS: -500, Central Connecticut State: +375 | UMASS | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | UMASS -10.5: -110, Central Connecticut State +10.5: -110 | UMASS -10.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 141.5: -105, Under 141.5: -115 | Under 141.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Massachusetts Minutemen 252% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 141.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Massachusetts Minutemen at 252% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 67.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UMASS to win straight-up and cover the -10.5 spread with the total score going under 141.5 points.
Predicted Score: UMASS 74 – Central Connecticut State 62