Match Analysis: Kent State Golden Flashes vs Wright St Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Colonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs
Game Overview
Kent State Golden Flashes (3-1) host Wright State Raiders (2-2) in a non-conference matchup at the Greenbrier Tip-Off tournament. Kent State enters as 3.5-4.5 point favorites with a moneyline of -205/-192 across books. This is a matchup between two teams with contrasting recent form, with Kent State riding positive momentum while Wright State seeks to recover from a significant loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kent State has won their last game decisively (102-95 vs Cleveland State at home) and holds a 3-1 record. However, they rank poorly in offensive efficiency (189th nationally with 73.5 PPG) despite solid defensive metrics (61st at 68.3 PPG allowed). Wright State enters 2-2 with a concerning recent performanceβthey were defeated 92-59 at home by Radford Highlanders, showing defensive vulnerabilities (76.4 PPG allowed ranks 301st). Wright State does shoot better overall (49.4% FG ranks 6th nationally) compared to Kent State (43.6% ranks 268th), suggesting potential for offensive output.
- No historical head-to-head data is available in the search results for this matchup.
- No injury information is provided in the available search results.
- Both teams are participating in the Greenbrier Tip-Off tournament. Wright State covered the +3.5 spread in 6 of their last 10 home games, suggesting they perform better as underdogs. The game is played at a neutral venue (Colonial Hall, White Sulphur Springs) rather than at Kent State's actual home, which may reduce Kent State's traditional home-court advantage.
- Wright State is motivated to bounce back from a humiliating 33-point home loss to Radford. Kent State seeks to maintain momentum and improve their tournament seeding. The neutral court creates more balanced motivation between both squads.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kent State -205 / Wright State +168 | Kent State Golden Flashes | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Kent State -4.5 (-105) / Wright State +4.5 (-115) | Wright State Raiders +4.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 153.5 (-110) / Under 153.5 (-110) | Under 154.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kent State Golden Flashes -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kent State Golden Flashes will win but fail to cover the spread. The game total will finish under 154.5.
Predicted Score: Kent State 74, Wright State 71