Match Analysis: Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: Allegiant Stadium
Game Overview
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) face the Dallas Cowboys (3-5-1) at Allegiant Stadium. Both teams have struggled this season, but the Cowboys have a slight edge in recent form and consistency, particularly on defense and creating turnovers. Las Vegas has shown some home resilience but lacks offensive firepower compared to Dallas.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dallas Cowboys have a 3-5-1 record with more balanced play and better recent results away from home (2-3 ATS), whereas Raiders are 2-7 with poor offensive production, especially on the ground (787 rushing yards vs. Cowboys' 1086). Cowboys lead turnovers and have been stronger in critical moments.
- Historically, Cowboys have been favored in head-to-head matchups and have won most recent meetings. Both teams have similar overall recent trends (3-5 records), but the Cowboys show more consistency against the spread.
- No major injury disruptions reported impacting key skill position players on either side, maintaining both teams' typical lineups.
- Game played indoors at Allegiant Stadium eliminates weather impact. Public betting leans heavily (82%) on Raiders but this is contrarian considering team form and performance.
- Cowboys need a win to push towards playoff contention, while Raiders have less motivation given poor season outcome so far. Dallasβ stronger incentive to close the gap improves their chances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys -192, Las Vegas Raiders +160 | Dallas Cowboys | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Dallas Cowboys -3.5 -108, Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 -112 | Dallas Cowboys -3.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 49.5 -118, Under 49.5 -102 | Under 49.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Cowboys -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Dallas Cowboys to win straight up with a spread cover and total points going under 49.5
Predicted Score: Dallas Cowboys 24 - Las Vegas Raiders 17
This Pick Releases in 1223 Minutes!
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