Match Analysis: Pepperdine Waves vs N Colorado Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA
Game Overview
Pepperdine Waves host the Northern Colorado Bears in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter with strong records, but contrasting recent trends and venue history create a high-stakes, EV-rich environment for sharp bettors.
Key Factors to Consider
- Northern Colorado is 2-0, averaging 101 points in their wins, with dominant offensive efficiency. Pepperdine is 2-1, but their lone loss was on the road. Northern Colorado has won 10 of their last 12 night games, while Pepperdine has lost 7 straight night games vs non-conference opponents. Pepperdine has won 7 straight home games vs Big Sky teams.
- Pepperdine has won each of their last 7 home games against Big Sky opponents, but there is no direct H2H between these two teams in recent history.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- The game is at Firestone Fieldhouse, a venue where Pepperdine has a strong home record. The game is at night, a factor that favors Northern Colorado based on recent trends.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Northern Colorado is coming off a dominant home win and seeks a statement road victory. Pepperdine wants to rebound from their first loss and protect their home court.
- Northern Colorado has won both games by large margins, showing offensive firepower. Pepperdine has been inconsistent, with a blowout win but also a loss to a non-conference opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away: -115, home: -105 | N Colorado Bears | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | away: -1.5 100, home: 1.5 -120 | N Colorado Bears -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 153.5 -108, under: 153.5 -112 | Over 153.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | N Colorado Bears 16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 153.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: N Colorado Bears at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Northern Colorado Bears will win a close game, covering the spread and pushing the total slightly over.
Predicted Score: 79-74