Match Analysis: St Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The Vegas Golden Knights (7-4-5) visit the St. Louis Blues (6-8-4). Golden Knights are favored owing to stronger recent form and more effective special teams, while the Blues are completing a back-to-back and have struggled defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Golden Knights have a slightly better record (7-4-5) and have been averaging 2.5 goals per game, conceding 3.0, with a powerplay of 7.7% and penalty kill of 85.3%. The Blues are 6-8-4, scoring 2.8 goals and conceding 3.6, with a stronger powerplay (17.9% – 24.4% in another source) but very poor penalty kill (~70-77%). Blues have been inconsistent at home and struggle defensively.
- Recent H2H data points to relatively tight matches with moderate scoring. Prior prediction consensus favors Vegas by a narrow margin, e.g., 4-2 or 4-3 outcomes.
- No explicit recent injury data found; assume standard lineups with no major absences impacting key players.
- Blues are on a back-to-back schedule potentially causing fatigue; game played in Blues' home venue which can offer slight advantage. The Golden Knights have good road performance.
- Vegas is pushing to maintain playoff positioning in a competitive Pacific division, while Blues have struggled and motivation may be moderate but hampered by recent form and fatigue.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St Louis Blues +118, Vegas Golden Knights -148 | Vegas Golden Knights | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | St Louis Blues +1.5 -215, Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 +170 | Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 | β β β ββ 66% |
| Over/under | Over 6 -118, Under 6 -105 | Under 6 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vegas Golden Knights -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vegas Golden Knights win outright, cover spread, and total goals under 6
Predicted Score: Vegas Golden Knights 4 – St Louis Blues 2