Match Analysis: Omaha Mavericks vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Baxter Arena, Omaha, NE
Game Overview
The Omaha Mavericks host the Southern Utah Thunderbirds in an NCAA basketball matchup featuring Omaha’s 0-3 start against Southern Utah’s 1-2 record. Omaha is favored strongly at home with a -360 moneyline and -9.5 point spread, with a total points line set at 155.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Omaha is 0-3, averaging 77 points per game but allowing 85 points on 45.6% shooting. Southern Utah stands at 1-2, struggling on the road and losing its last six games against non-conference opponents.
- Omaha has won its last 10 games at home against non-ranked opponents, including a dominant 83-53 win against Southern Utah in March. Southern Utah has consistently lost first halves in these matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players.
- Omaha plays at home maintaining an undefeated streak vs non-ranked teams in Baxter Arena; Southern Utah faces travel fatigue and has performed poorly in road night games.
- Omaha looks to end a rough start and maintain home dominance, while Southern Utah aims to break a losing skid but lacks strong recent momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -360 (Omaha), +285 (Southern Utah) | Omaha Mavericks | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | -9.5 (-108) Omaha, +9.5 (-112) Southern Utah | Omaha Mavericks -9.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 155.5 (-108), Under 155.5 (-112) | Over 155.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Omaha Mavericks -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 155.5 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 155.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Omaha Mavericks to win straight up, cover the -9.5 spread, with the game going over 155.5 points
Predicted Score: Omaha Mavericks 86, Southern Utah Thunderbirds 72