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Emiliano Vargas vs. Jonathan Montrel Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Emiliano Vargas vs Jonathan Montrel - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 12:25 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena Coliseo, San Luis Potosi, Mexico

Game Overview

Undefeated prospect Emiliano Vargas (15-0, 13 KOs) faces experienced challenger Jonathan Montrel (19-3, 13 KOs) in a 10-round Super Lightweight bout. Vargas enters as an overwhelming favorite with massive moneyline odds, but the matchup presents interesting value considerations given the significant experience and record disparity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vargas is a perfect 15-0 with an 87% knockout rate, indicating elite finishing power. Montrel brings a respectable 19-3 record with 68% knockout rate but has suffered three losses. Vargas's 13 consecutive knockouts demonstrate dominant recent form, while Montrel's losses suggest vulnerability against elite opposition.
  • No prior H2H record exists. This is an asymmetric matchup between an undefeated young prospect and an experienced veteran gatekeeper. Vargas's youth (21 years old) combined with Montrel's age (35 years old, 14-year gap) suggests Vargas has significant physical advantages.
  • No injury information available in provided data.
  • Vargas enjoys a 2-inch height advantage and 7-inch reach advantage, both critical in boxing. The fight location in Mexico may provide environmental factors. Vargas has fought only 41 professional rounds compared to Montrel's 82, indicating less ring experience but fresher legs. Vargas made his debut in 2022 (3 years ago) while Montrel turned pro in 2018 (7 years ago).
  • Vargas is a rising prospect seeking to maintain undefeated status and build his resume. Montrel is a veteran likely seeking a paycheck against a favorable opponent or potential career resurgence. The oddsmakers' 92% implied probability on Vargas suggests the market has already priced in his dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vargas -2800 / Montrel +1100 Emiliano Vargas Wins β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 89%
Over/under Estimated over/under likely set around 4.5-5.5 rounds based on Vargas's 87% KO rate UNDER (Fight ends by KO/TKO within 5 rounds) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emiliano Vargas -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Emiliano Vargas at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Emiliano Vargas wins decisively by knockout or decision. The overwhelming combination of physical advantages (height, reach, age), perfect record with elite knockout percentage, and superior athleticism makes Vargas the clear victor. However, the -2800 moneyline odds offer poor value for bettors despite the high probability outcome.

Predicted Score: Emiliano Vargas via KO Round 4 (most likely); if distance, Vargas 10-0 or 10-1 decision

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Chris Eubank Jr vs. Conor Benn Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Chris Eubank Jr vs Conor Benn – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The rematch between Chris Eubank Jr and Conor Benn is set at middleweight with Eubank Jr as the more experienced fighter and favorite based on recent form and rankings. The bout is scheduled for 12 rounds, and the fight dynamics favor Eubank Jr due to physical advantages and tactical superiority.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eubank Jr has won 4 of his last 5 fights, including a unanimous decision win over Benn in April 2025. Benn is motivated but less experienced with fewer rounds fought professionally.
  • Eubank Jr won the first fight by unanimous decision over 12 rounds, showing superior ring control and scoring.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter as of the fight week.
  • Fight takes place in London, giving a slight home advantage atmosphere for Eubank Jr. No notable external disruptions or distractions.
  • Benn is highly motivated to avenge his previous loss and improve his record, but Eubank Jr also seeks to solidify his position in middleweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -160, away: +124 Chris Eubank Jr β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread home -1.5 rounds: -140, away +1.5 rounds: +120 Chris Eubank Jr -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over 10.5 rounds: -150, under 10.5 rounds: +120 Under 10.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Eubank Jr 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10.5 32%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Eubank Jr to win by unanimous decision

Predicted Score: Chris Eubank Jr wins by unanimous decision after 11 rounds


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Jack Catterall vs. Ekow Essuman Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Jack Catterall vs Ekow Essuman – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Game Overview

Jack Catterall (31-2, 13 KOs) faces Ekow Essuman (22-1, 8 KOs) in a 10-round welterweight contest. Catterall enters as the heavy favorite with superior record, experience, and knockout power. Essuman presents as an underdog with a solid record but facing a significantly stronger opponent in a hostile environment.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Catterall demonstrates elite credentials with a 31-2 record and 42% knockout rate, showing both boxing skill and power. Essuman's 22-1 record with 36% KO rate is respectable but indicates a step down in competition level. Catterall's superior win-loss record and knockout percentage suggest clear technical and physical advantages.
  • No prior matchup history. This is a fresh encounter with no direct comparative data, but Catterall's overall profile (31 wins vs 22 wins, higher KO %) suggests dominance potential.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter. Both appear healthy and ready for competition.
  • Fight takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, potentially favoring Essuman with home-crowd support. However, Catterall's superior skill should overcome any crowd disadvantage. The 10-round format favors technical boxers, which suits Catterall's fighting style.
  • Catterall seeks to maintain elite status and assert dominance. Essuman has significant motivation as an underdog fighting at home with a chance for a career-defining upset. Catterall's motivation appears more focused on performance validation than desperation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Catterall -225, Essuman +175 Jack Catterall Moneyline β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under KO/TKO: Catterall +650, Essuman +750 Decision (Under on Combined KO odds) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jack Catterall -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jack Catterall at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jack Catterall wins by decision. While Essuman's home advantage and height/reach superiority (3 inches each) provide some leverage, Catterall's superior experience, knockout power, and overall record make him the clear favorite. A competitive fight is expected, but Catterall's skill edge should prevail over 10 rounds.

Predicted Score: Jack Catterall wins by Unanimous Decision (98-92 or 97-93 scorecard) via technical boxing and consistent point accumulation rather than knockout.


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Richard Riakporhe vs. Tommy Welch Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Richard Riakporhe vs Tommy Welch – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Game Overview

Richard Riakporhe faces Tommy Welch in a 10-round heavyweight bout. Riakporhe is a clear favorite with a strong knockout rate and more professional experience, while Welch remains undefeated but is the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Riakporhe holds an 18-1 record with 78% KO rate and recent form includes 4 KOs in his last 5 fights. Welch is undefeated at 16-0 with a 56% KO rate but lacks Riakporhe's power and experience.
  • No previous encounters between Riakporhe and Welch.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight held in London at a major venue during a high-profile event, likely favoring the more experienced Riakporhe in handling pressure.
  • Riakporhe aims to rebound from his only loss and solidify his heavyweight status; Welch seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Richard Riakporhe: -1600, Tommy Welch: +800 Richard Riakporhe β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Riakporhe -2.5 rounds: -120, Welch +2.5 rounds: +100 Riakporhe -2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 7.5 rounds: +110, Under 7.5 rounds: -130 Under 7.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Richard Riakporhe -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Richard Riakporhe at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richard Riakporhe to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Riakporhe wins by KO in round 4


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Sam Gilley vs. Ishmael Davis Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Sam Gilley vs Ishmael Davis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The super welterweight clash between Sam Gilley and Ishmael Davis features Davis as the favorite with odds of -330 versus Gilley's +245. Gilley holds a strong record of 18-1-1 with a higher knockout percentage (50%) compared to Davis's 13-3-0 and 46% KO ratio. Davis is favored due to recent form and battlefield momentum, but Gilley’s experience and power provide a credible upset potential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sam Gilley has an 18-1-1 record with 9 KOs and consistent performances but fewer recent knockouts. Ishmael Davis holds a 13-3 record with 6 KOs, though he has struggled recently with three losses in close or late-notice fights, showing some vulnerability despite being favored.
  • No direct previous bouts between Gilley and Davis, but Gilley's longer professional career and more fights (114 rounds vs 97 rounds) lend him slight experience advantage.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • The bout occurs at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a major venue possibly favoring the well-prepared favorite Davis. Davis has had a rough streak but fights motivated by British and Commonwealth title implications, increasing competitiveness.
  • Davis aims to cement himself on a grander stage after late-notice tough losses, while Gilley, the underdog, is motivated to capitalize on power and experience to upset the favorite and claim titles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +245, away: -330 Ishmael Davis β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread home: +245, away: -330 Ishmael Davis -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Over 7.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ishmael Davis -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Ishmael Davis at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ishmael Davis to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Ishmael Davis wins by KO in round 8


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Mikie Tallon vs. Fezan Shahid Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Mikie Tallon vs Fezan Shahid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England

Game Overview

Mikie 'The Omen' Tallon (10-0-0) faces Fezan 'Fizzy' Shahid (4-2-2) in an 8-round super flyweight bout. Tallon enters with a perfect undefeated record while Shahid has a mixed record with 4 wins, 2 losses, and 2 draws. This matchup showcases a dominant prospect against a journeyman-level opponent with considerably less technical polish and experience consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mikie Tallon maintains a pristine 10-0-0 record with consistent victories demonstrating ring adaptation and technical superiority. His dominant streak reflects strong conditioning and opponent management. Fezan Shahid's 4-2-2 record indicates significant inconsistency, with losses suggesting vulnerability against better competition. The disparity in undefeated status is substantialβ€”Tallon has never tasted defeat while Shahid has already experienced multiple setbacks.
  • No previous matchup history exists between these fighters. However, comparative record analysis shows Tallon's previous opponents appear less experienced than typical competition, whereas Shahid has faced mixed-quality opposition resulting in his draw and loss record. Tallon's technical advancement over Shahid appears pronounced.
  • No injuries reported for either fighter entering this bout.
  • This fight serves as undercard support for the primary event featuring Chris Eubank Jr. versus Conor Benn, providing Tallon platform exposure on DAZN. Tallon fights in his development phase against a relatively beatable opponent, suggesting matchmaker intent to preserve his unblemished record while building credentials.
  • Tallon seeks to extend his undefeated streak and build toward title contention in the super flyweight division. Shahid requires a victory to demonstrate improvement and avoid further career degradation given his existing loss record. The motivational advantage distinctly favors Tallon as the prospect with trajectory momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tallon: -25000 | Shahid: +2000 Mikie Tallon Victory β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 94%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Mikie Tallon wins decisively via decision or stoppage. The extreme moneyline odds (-25000) accurately reflect the substantial skill gap between an undefeated prospect and a journeyman-level opponent.

Predicted Score: Tallon 80-72 to 80-71 (UD) or TKO Round 6-7


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Adam Azim vs. Kurt Scoby Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Adam Azim vs Kurt Scoby – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

Game Overview

Adam Azim (13-0, 10 KOs) defends his undefeated record against Kurt Scoby (18-1, 16 KOs) in a 10-round Super Lightweight bout. Azim is a heavy favorite at -1300, while Scoby presents significant underdog value at +580. This is a classic David vs. Goliath matchup with Azim's youth and undefeated status against Scoby's experience and knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Adam Azim: Undefeated 13-0 record with 77% knockout rate (10/13). At 23 years old, he represents the next generation of Super Lightweight talent. Kurt Scoby: Veteran record of 18-1 with an impressive 89% knockout rate (16/18), indicating superior knockout power. His single loss suggests vulnerability but also demonstrates he can go deep in competitive fights.
  • No previous matchup history. This is a significant step up in competition for Azim against an experienced opponent with a proven track record. Scoby's 18 professional fights provide substantially more experience than Azim's 13.
  • No injury information available from the provided data.
  • The fight takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, a large venue suggesting major promotional backing. Broadcast on DAZN PPV indicates this is a notable card. Community predictions heavily favor Azim (90.9% pick rate), with 72.73% predicting Azim via KO.
  • Azim is fighting to maintain his perfect record and likely testing himself against stiffer competition. Scoby, as a +580 underdog, has significant motivation to pull off an upset and establish himself as a legitimate title contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Azim -1300 / Scoby +580 Adam Azim β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 9.5 rounds: -190 / Under 9.5 rounds: +135 Under 9.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Adam Azim -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Adam Azim at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adam Azim wins by knockout in the mid-to-late rounds (rounds 5-8). While Scoby's superior knockout rate (89% vs 77%) presents danger, Azim's youth, height advantage (1 inch), reach advantage (2 inches), and undefeated momentum provide technical and physical advantages. The sportsbooks have overestimated Scoby's chances given his loss and the age/experience gap favors Azim's prime years.

Predicted Score: Adam Azim wins by TKO in Round 7 (42-36 on scorecards at time of stoppage)


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Steven Butler vs. Stephane Fondjo Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Steven Butler vs Stephane Fondjo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 13, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Montreal Casino, Montreal, Canada

Game Overview

Steven Butler, a seasoned super middleweight with 36 wins (30 KOs) and significant professional experience, faces challenger Stephane Fondjo (14 wins, 9 KOs) in a 10-round bout. Butler enters as the heavy favorite with superior experience, power output, and knockout percentage. This matchup heavily favors the established veteran over the less-experienced challenger.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Steven Butler: 36-5-1 record with 83% knockout rate (30 KOs in 41 fights). Stephane Fondjo: 14-1-1 record with 64% knockout rate (9 KOs in 14 fights). Butler demonstrates superior offensive efficiency and consistency at the professional level.
  • No previous head-to-head record available. This is a matchup between fighters at vastly different career stages and experience levels.
  • No injury information available in provided data.
  • Fight takes place at Montreal Casino in Canada, a neutral venue. The 10-round format favors the more experienced fighter who can pace himself and exploit fatigue in later rounds.
  • Butler is defending his position as an established contender; Fondjo is seeking a signature win to elevate his profile. Butler's established professional standing suggests greater mental preparedness for high-pressure situations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Butler -1000 / Fondjo +600 Steven Butler to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Steven Butler 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Steven Butler at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steven Butler by decision or knockout within 10 rounds. Butler's substantial experience advantage (26 more professional fights, 109 more rounds), superior knockout rate (83% vs 64%), and age advantage (30 vs 27) create significant technical and physical edges over Fondjo.

Predicted Score: Steven Butler 97-93 / 98-92 / 99-91 via majority or unanimous decision (alternative: Butler KO round 7-9 at 28% probability)


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Vergil Ortiz Jr vs. Erickson Lubin Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Vergil Ortiz Jr vs Erickson Lubin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, United States

Game Overview

Vergil Ortiz Jr faces Erickson Lubin for the interim WBC super welterweight title in a 12-round bout. Ortiz Jr is the heavy favorite, with odds around -800, while Lubin is priced at +500. The fight is expected to be a showcase of Ortiz Jr's knockout power versus Lubin's resilience and experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ortiz Jr is 23-0 with 22 knockouts, demonstrating elite power and aggression. Lubin is 27-2, with a recent three-fight winning streak but has suffered two stoppage losses in title fights. Ortiz Jr's recent form includes a comeback win over Serhii Bohachuk and a successful title defense against Israil Madrimov. Lubin has shown improvement but lacks Ortiz Jr's explosive finishing ability.
  • No previous meetings between Ortiz Jr and Lubin.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is in Ortiz Jr's home country, likely providing a supportive crowd. The bout is for the interim WBC title, adding extra prestige and motivation.
  • Ortiz Jr is defending his interim title and aiming to solidify his status as a top contender. Lubin is seeking redemption after two title fight losses and is highly motivated to capture a world title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -800, away: 500, draw: 2000 Vergil Ortiz Jr Not available
Spread home: -200, away: 150 Vergil Ortiz Jr -4.5 Not available
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Over 9.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vergil Ortiz Jr -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 38%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vergil Ortiz Jr wins by knockout before the 10th round.

Predicted Score: Vergil Ortiz Jr wins by KO in Round 8


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Darius Fulghum vs. David Stevens Prediction Boxing

Match Analysis: Darius Fulghum vs David Stevens – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dickies Arena, Fort Worth, Texas, US

Game Overview

This super-middleweight 10-round fight features Darius Fulghum (14-1, 12 KOs), a former USA Boxing national champion and Olympic alternate known for athleticism and power, versus David Stevens (15-2, 10 KOs), a dangerous puncher with a reputation for early-round finishes. Both rising American prospects aim to advance toward contender status.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulghum has been dominant since turning pro in 2022 and is coming off a close unanimous decision loss to contender Melikuziev. Stevens has momentum from his unanimous decision win in June but is noted as a slow starter.
  • No prior professional head-to-head matchups; however, Fulghum and Stevens have sparred in training, with Fulghum's timing and punch variety expected to trouble Stevens mid-to-late rounds.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this fight.
  • Fight takes place at Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, favoring Fulghum as the local star supported by his promoter Golden Boy and hometown advantage.
  • Fulghum is highly motivated to rebound from his first pro loss and aims to decisively break Stevens' will. Stevens seeks to prove he can start stronger and capture a big upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -425, away: +298 Darius Fulghum β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread home: -1.5 -110, away: +1.5 -110 Darius Fulghum -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: -160, under: +124 Under 8.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Darius Fulghum -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 57%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 57% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Darius Fulghum to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Fulghum wins by 7th round TKO


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