Match Analysis: Santa Clara Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Leavey Center
Game Overview
Santa Clara Broncos host Nevada Wolf Pack in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter 3-0, with Santa Clara favored at home. Nevada has a strong record against Santa Clara historically, but the Broncos seek revenge after a heavy defeat last season. The game features contrasting styles: Santa Clara pushes tempo, while Nevada slows the pace and attacks the rim.
Key Factors to Consider
- Santa Clara is 3-0 at home, averaging 70+ points per game. Nevada is 3-0 on the road, with a top-20 turnover rate and strong rim protection. Both teams are strong on the glass, but Santa Clara struggles defensively at the free-throw line.
- Nevada leads the last 7 meetings 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS. Last year, Nevada won 85-59 as a 7.5-point favorite. Santa Clara is motivated for revenge.
- Nevada is missing F Tadjo (undisclosed, out since Nov 5) and G Normand (undisclosed). Santa Clara has no reported injuries.
- Santa Clara has home-court advantage. Nevada is well-rested and experienced in close games. The game is not on a neutral court.
- Santa Clara is highly motivated to avenge last year's blowout loss. Nevada is confident but faces a tough road test.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -320, away: 255 | Santa Clara Broncos | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | home: -6.5 -114, away: 6.5 -106 | Nevada Wolf Pack +6.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: 148.5 -110, under: 148.5 -112 | Over 148.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santa Clara Broncos -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 148.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara wins a close game, but Nevada covers the spread due to strong free-throw shooting and turnover control.
Predicted Score: Santa Clara 78, Nevada 76