Match Analysis: North Alabama Lions vs East Tennessee St Buccaneers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: CB&S Bank Arena at Flowers Hall, Florence, AL
Game Overview
North Alabama Lions host East Tennessee State Buccaneers in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter with 2-1 records, but North Alabama boasts a dominant home streak and superior defensive metrics, while East Tennessee State has struggled on the road and in recent Saturday day games.
Key Factors to Consider
- North Alabama averages 79.7 points on 44.3% shooting and allows just 57.5 points on 47.3% shooting. East Tennessee State averages 83 points on 49.7% shooting but allows 90.5 points per game. North Alabamaβs defense is elite, while ETSUβs defense is porous.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available, but North Alabama has won 16 straight home games at Flowers Hall. ETSU has lost its last seven Saturday road games against non-conference opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- North Alabama is playing at home, where they have a strong winning streak. ETSU is playing on the road, where they have struggled recently, especially on Saturdays.
- North Alabama is motivated to continue their home dominance and build momentum. ETSU is looking to bounce back from recent road losses and improve their record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | East Tennessee St Buccaneers: -115, North Alabama Lions: -105 | North Alabama Lions | Not available |
| Spread | East Tennessee St Buccaneers: -1.5 102, North Alabama Lions: 1.5 -122 | North Alabama Lions +1.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 145.5 -112, Under: 145.5 -108 | Under 145.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Alabama Lions 17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
North Alabama Lions will win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total.
Predicted Score: 68-64