Match Analysis: Mississippi St Bulldogs vs SE Louisiana Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS
Game Overview
Mississippi State Bulldogs host SE Louisiana Lions in a non-conference matchup. Mississippi State enters with a 1-1 record, coming off a strong offensive showing and a loss to a top-tier opponent. SE Louisiana is 0-3, struggling offensively and defensively, averaging just 56.7 points per game and surrendering 72.0 points per game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mississippi State is averaging 83.0 points per game and 45.0 rebounds, shooting 46.5% from the field. They have a strong home record against non-AP ranked teams and Southland Conference opponents. SE Louisiana is averaging 56.7 points per game, shooting 33.3% from the field in their last game, and has lost all three games by double digits.
- No recent direct H2H, but Mississippi State has won each of their last 10 games against Southland Conference teams at Humphrey Coliseum.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Mississippi State has a significant home-court advantage and is favored heavily. SE Louisiana is on the road and has struggled away from home, losing all three games this season.
- Mississippi State is looking to build momentum after a loss to Iowa State and a win over North Alabama. SE Louisiana is searching for their first win of the season and will be highly motivated to avoid another blowout.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -50000, away: 3500 | Mississippi St Bulldogs | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | home: -25.5, away: 25.5 | Mississippi St Bulldogs -25.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: 150.5, under: 150.5 | Over 150.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mississippi St Bulldogs -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mississippi State Bulldogs will win comfortably, covering the spread and pushing the total over 150.5 points.
Predicted Score: Mississippi State 84 – SE Louisiana 57