Match Analysis: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Gymnasium, Nashville, TN
Game Overview
Vanderbilt Commodores host Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions in a matchup featuring a dominant Vanderbilt team undefeated this season against a struggling Arkansas-Pine Bluff squad seeking their first win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vanderbilt is 3-0, averaging 100.7 points per game with elite shooting efficiency (54.6% FG) and solid defense allowing 72.0 PPG. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 0-4, scoring just 66.3 PPG on 36.1% shooting while allowing 91.5 PPG and struggling on offense and defense.
- No recent head-to-head history available; however, Vanderbilt's strong form and level of competition in SEC far surpass Arkansas-Pine Bluff's performance in SWAC.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players.
- Vanderbilt plays at home with strong crowd support and motivation to maintain undefeated start; Arkansas-Pine Bluff faces travel and morale challenges.
- Vanderbilt is motivated to stay undefeated and secure a statement win early in the season; Arkansas-Pine Bluff is motivated to avoid an 0-5 start but lacks offensive firepower.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -100000, away: +7500 | Vanderbilt | β β β β β 99% |
| Spread | home: -108, away: -112 | Vanderbilt -41.5 | β β β β β 95% |
| Over/under | over: -115, under: -105 | Over 175.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 175.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 175.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vanderbilt to win moneyline and cover the large spread; the total points will go over the set 175.5 line given Vanderbiltβs high-scoring offense.
Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 99 – Arkansas-Pine Bluff 66