Match Analysis: Air Force Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Clune Arena, Colorado Springs, Colorado
Game Overview
Miami (OH) RedHawks (2-0) travel to face the Air Force Falcons (0-3) in a Mountain West matchup. Miami enters undefeated with dominant offensive performances, while Air Force searches for their first win after three consecutive losses. This represents a significant talent and form disparity, with Miami heavily favored by the sportsbooks.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami (OH) has been exceptional to start the season, averaging 108 points per game across two wins including a dominant 129-49 victory over Trinity Christian. The RedHawks are shooting 60% from the field (36-60) and 79% from free throw (22-28). Air Force has struggled significantly, averaging just 63 points per game while shooting 43.3% from the floor. In their most recent loss to LIU (76-72), Air Force showed some competitiveness but has failed to secure a win. Miami's offensive efficiency is among the best in early-season college basketball, while Air Force ranks 257th in offensive efficiency nationally.
- No recent head-to-head history is provided in the available data. This is Air Force's first matchup against Miami (OH) this season.
- No injury information is available in the search results.
- This is Miami (OH)'s first road game of the season after two home victories. Air Force plays at home in Colorado Springs, where they hope home court advantage will provide a boost. However, the home team's winless record suggests environmental factors have not yet translated to success.
- Air Force is desperately seeking their first win and will be highly motivated at home. Miami (OH) is confident but facing their first road test, which could present challenges. The talent gap, however, heavily favors Miami's ability to overcome potential road complications.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Air Force +410 | Miami (OH) -550 | Miami (OH) RedHawks | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | -11.5 -110 | Miami (OH) -11.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | 143.5 -115 (Over) / -105 (Under) | Under 143.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 143.5 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawks will win decisively and cover the spread. Miami's superior offensive efficiency, undefeated record, and dominant early-season form position them to handle Air Force's struggles. While Air Force may show competitiveness at home, Miami's ability to score consistently should prove overwhelming.
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 80, Air Force 67