Match Analysis: UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Austin Peay Governors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Greensboro, NC
Game Overview
UNC Greensboro Spartans host Austin Peay Governors in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. UNC Greensboro enters 0-3 with poor recent form, while Austin Peay is 2-1 and has shown more consistency. The market favors UNC Greensboro by a narrow margin, but both teams have struggled defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- UNC Greensboro is 0-3 with losses to NC State, Kansas State, and Elon, averaging 75.3 points allowed per game. Austin Peay is 2-1 with wins over Air Force and North Florida, but losses to Wyoming and North Alabama. Austin Peay has been more efficient offensively and defensively.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available, but both teams are relatively new to this level of competition.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- UNC Greensboro is playing at home, but their home record is 0-2 ATS. Austin Peay is 2-1 ATS on the road. The total has gone over in 3 of UNC Greensboro's last 3 games.
- UNC Greensboro is desperate for a win after a poor start, while Austin Peay is looking to build momentum. Both teams are motivated, but UNC Greensboro's home crowd may provide a slight edge.
- UNC Greensboro is 0-3 ATS in their last 5 games, while Austin Peay is 2-1 ATS in their last 3. The public is heavily backing UNC Greensboro, but the line movement suggests some sharp action on Austin Peay.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Austin Peay Governors: 120, UNC Greensboro Spartans: -142 | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Not available |
| Spread | Austin Peay Governors: 1.5 102, UNC Greensboro Spartans: -1.5 -122 | Austin Peay Governors +1.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 144.5 -108, Under: 144.5 -112 | Over 144.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UNC Greensboro Spartans 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 144.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 144.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Austin Peay Governors will cover the spread and the game will go over the total.
Predicted Score: 78-72