Match Analysis: Chicago St Cougars vs UIC Flames – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jones Convocation Center, Chicago, IL
Game Overview
UIC Flames enter as strong favorites with a 2-1 record against struggling Chicago State Cougars at 0-3. UIC's offensive efficiency and defense starkly contrast Chicago State's poor form, creating a significant mismatch.
Key Factors to Consider
- UIC Flames are averaging 87.3 points per game on 51.1% shooting while allowing 67.3 points. Chicago State Cougars have lost 11 straight games, averaging only 71.3 points while conceding 99.3 points per game.
- Historical direct matchups favor UIC Flames, who show consistent dominance over Chicago State, including comfortable wins in recent meetings.
- No significant injury reports for either team impacting key players; both teams appear healthy going into this matchup.
- Game played at Chicago State's home venue, but home advantage is mitigated by Chicago State's poor form and lack of winning momentum.
- UIC is motivated to maintain a strong start to the season and recover from recent tough schedules, whereas Chicago State is fighting to stop a long losing streak, possibly affecting confidence negatively.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UIC Flames -675, Chicago St Cougars +490 | UIC Flames | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | UIC Flames -11.5 (-105), Chicago St +11.5 (-115) | UIC Flames -11.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 157.5 (-108), Under 157.5 (-112) | Over 157.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UIC Flames -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 157.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 157.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UIC Flames to win comfortably covering the -11.5 spread with a moderately high scoring game exceeding the 157.5 total points line.
Predicted Score: UIC Flames 88 – Chicago State Cougars 72