Match Analysis: Denver Pioneers vs UTSA Roadrunners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hamilton Gymnasium, Denver
Game Overview
The Denver Pioneers (1-2) host the UTSA Roadrunners (1-2) in a Summit League matchup. Both teams enter with identical 1-2 records and are looking to find their footing early in the season. Denver holds a slight home-court advantage and is favored by 3.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are struggling early in the season with matching 1-2 records. Denver has gone 3-0 against the spread in their last 5 games and are 3-0 against the spread in road games (context suggests strong ATS performance). UTSA has shown some offensive capability with J. Simpson averaging 17.0 PPG, while Denver's J. Burke leads with 19.7 PPG at 51.2% FG and 81.8% FT.
- No recent head-to-head history is available in the provided data. This appears to be an early-season non-conference matchup.
- No injury information is provided in the available data.
- This is a non-conference game early in the season. Denver plays at home where they have demonstrated strength against the spread. The over has hit in 3 of Denver's last 3 games, suggesting offensive momentum.
- Both teams are 1-2 and searching for their first win to build confidence. Home-court advantage may provide Denver with a slight psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denver -166 | UTSA +140 | Denver Pioneers | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Denver -3.5 -102 | UTSA +3.5 -118 | Denver -3.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 149.5 -108 | Under 149.5 -112 | Over 149.5 | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denver Pioneers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 149.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 149.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Denver Pioneers to win by 4-5 points in a moderate-scoring game. Denver's home-court advantage, superior offensive efficiency (J. Burke's scoring), and strong recent ATS performance support a home victory, though the close spread reflects legitimate offensive capability from both sides.
Predicted Score: Denver 77, UTSA 73