Match Analysis: Boston Univ. Terriers vs Merrimack Warriors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Case Gym, Boston, MA
Game Overview
Boston University Terriers, with a 2-1 record, play at home against the 0-3 Merrimack Warriors. Boston U has shown better recent form and home court advantage, facing a struggling Merrimack team missing key players.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boston University is 2-1 overall with positive recent form, while Merrimack is 0-3 and struggling to secure wins. BU also covers the spread in 2 of last 5 games and has a strong home presence.
- Boston University leads in head-to-head with four wins in last five, though Merrimack won the most recent meeting narrowly 64-61.
- Merrimack's noteworthy injury includes Kyrone Alexander, out for about a month, weakening their roster. Boston University has no reported key injuries.
- The game is at Boston University's home court, Case Gym, where they have favorable conditions and strong fan support. Public betting heavily favors Boston U with 100% money share.
- Boston University, with a winning start and home game, has more motivation to maintain momentum, while Merrimack is eager to avoid an 0-4 start but faces an uphill battle.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -210, away: +170 | Boston University | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | Boston University -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Over 135.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Univ. Terriers 84% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 135.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Univ. Terriers at 84% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Boston University to win; Spread: Boston University to cover -4.5; Over/Under: Over 135.5 points
Predicted Score: Boston University 70 – Merrimack 63