Match Analysis: Yale Bulldogs vs Stony Brook Seawolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: John J. Lee Amphitheater, New Haven, CT
Game Overview
Yale Bulldogs (2-0) host Stony Brook Seawolves (3-0) in an early-season non-conference matchup. Yale enters as a heavy favorite, with the line suggesting a dominant home-court advantage. Both teams are undefeated but face vastly different competition levels.
Key Factors to Consider
- Yale is 2-0 with impressive wins: 97-60 vs. Quincy and 97-68 vs. Navy, both on the road. The Bulldogs are shooting efficiently and controlling games. Stony Brook is 3-0 but limited information available on opponent quality suggests potentially weaker competition. Yale's 19.5-point average margin of victory indicates superior talent and execution.
- Yale dominates the recent series 2-0, winning both matchups convincingly: 86-64 on 11/20/24 and 79-71 on 11/29/23. Yale has covered the spread in both recent meetings and shows a clear talent gap.
- No injury information available in provided data.
- Yale plays at home where they've already won twice this season. Home-court advantage in college basketball is significant, particularly for a program like Yale. Public betting shows 84% of money on Yale, indicating sharp agreement with the odds.
- Yale enters as the clear favorite with championship aspirations. Stony Brook, as an underdog, may lack motivation or confidence against a superior opponent. Yale has motivation to establish dominance early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yale -3600 | Stony Brook +1500 | Yale Bulldogs | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | Yale -20.5 -105 | Stony Brook +20.5 -115 | Yale -20.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 150.5 -110 | Under 150.5 -110 | Over 150.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yale Bulldogs -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yale Bulldogs win decisively at home. The Bulldogs should control this game from start to finish with their superior talent, efficiency, and home-court advantage. Expect Yale to win by 18+ points with a final score around 85-64.
Predicted Score: Yale 85, Stony Brook 64