Match Analysis: New Haven Chargers vs Delaware St Hornets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center, West Haven, CT
Game Overview
The New Haven Chargers (1-3) host the Delaware State Hornets (0-3) in a closely matched NEC conference game. Both teams have struggled early in the season, with New Haven showing a slight edge after a recent win. The Chargers play at home while the Hornets aim to break a four-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- New Haven has a 1-3 record with modest offensive output averaging 74.7 points per game, allowing 101.3 points, while Delaware State has yet to win, averaging 55 points and allowing 78 points. New Haven shows better recent form with a road win versus UMass Lowell and stronger scoring.
- No recent direct matchups data available, but Delaware State historically struggles in Saturday day road games against non-conference opponents (lost 20 of last 21), whereas they have won six of their last eight day games overall.
- No reported injuries on either side, keeping all main players available for the contest.
- Game is played at New Havenβs home court which favors Chargers. Delaware State faces external pressure from a rough early season and fixture congestion with an upcoming game versus Miami, possibly affecting focus.
- New Haven aims to improve its home start and build momentum against a struggling Delaware State, which desires to break its losing streak and regain confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Haven -110, Delaware St -110 | New Haven Chargers | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | New Haven -1.5 +105, Delaware St +1.5 -125 | New Haven Chargers -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 134.5 -112, Under 134.5 -108 | Under 134.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New Haven Chargers 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 134.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 134.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take New Haven Chargers to cover the -1.5 spread
Predicted Score: New Haven Chargers 69 – Delaware State Hornets 62