Match Analysis: Virginia Cavaliers vs Marshall Thundering Herd – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
Game Overview
Virginia Cavaliers host Marshall Thundering Herd in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Virginia enters as heavy favorites, with both teams coming off strong recent wins and no major injuries reported.
Key Factors to Consider
- Virginia has dominated their last six games, averaging 83.5 points per game and allowing only 49.8 points. Marshall has also shown offensive firepower, scoring 96, 85, and 78 in their last three games, but their defense has been less consistent, allowing 89, 73, and 72 in those contests.
- Virginia won the only previous meeting 100-64 in 2018. No recent competitive history exists, but Virginia's dominance in that game suggests a significant talent gap.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Virginia is playing at home, where they have been nearly unstoppable this season. Marshall is on the road, but has shown resilience in away games with recent wins at Toledo and Massachusetts.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Virginia is aiming to establish itself as a national contender, while Marshall seeks a signature win to boost its profile.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -4500 | Virginia Cavaliers | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | -20.5 -118 | Virginia Cavaliers -20.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | 154.5 -110 | Under 154.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Virginia Cavaliers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Virginia Cavaliers will win comfortably, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total due to their defensive prowess and Marshall's inconsistent scoring.
Predicted Score: 78-62