Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil
Game Overview
The match features Bragantino-SP hosting Atletico Mineiro in the Brazilian Campeonato, with Bragantino slightly favored at home. Recent odds place Bragantino as slight favorites with moderately close contest odds, reflecting a competitive matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bragantino has maintained solid home form this season and shows consistent attacking output, while Atletico Mineiro has some recent strong away performances but is slightly inconsistent.
- In recent direct encounters this season, Bragantino and Atletico Mineiro have had close games, with Bragantino marginally edging results, including a 4:3 match indicating closely contested play.
- No significant injuries reported for either side that would heavily impact first team selection, maintaining relative squad strength.
- Playing at home gives Bragantino a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal.
- Both teams are motivated as they compete for higher standings late in the season, but Bragantino appears slightly more motivated to secure a home win to boost their league position.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 113, away: 265, draw: 212 | Bragantino-SP | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | home: -122, away: 102 | Bragantino-SP -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
| Over/under | over: 100, under: -120 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bragantino-SP 19% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Bragantino-SP to win; Spread: Bragantino-SP -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1