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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 9:25 PM UTC
  • Location: Denver, Colorado

Game Overview

Week 11 matchup between the Denver Broncos (8-2, 5-0 home) and Kansas City Chiefs (5-4, 1-3 away). The Broncos are the home favorites with a strong record, while the Chiefs are struggling on the road and fighting to maintain playoff positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Denver enters as the superior team with an 8-2 overall record and an impressive 5-0 home record. Kansas City has deteriorated significantly with a 5-4 record, particularly struggling away from home at 1-3. The Broncos have momentum and home-field advantage, while the Chiefs' away form suggests vulnerability.
  • Limited recent context provided in available data. Historical trends suggest competitive matchups, but current form heavily favors Denver's superior record and home dominance.
  • No specific injury information available in provided data. Analysis proceeds with assumption of standard roster availability.
  • Denver's 5-0 home record indicates strong performance in front of home crowds. Kansas City's 1-3 away record suggests environmental or travel-related factors negatively impact their performance outside Arrowhead Stadium.
  • Denver has strong motivation to maintain their first-place position and continue home success. Kansas City faces potential playoff desperation with their 5-4 record and need to improve away performance to remain competitive in playoff chase.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline DEN: +170, KC: -205 Denver Broncos ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread DEN +3.5 (-105), KC -3.5 (-115) Denver Broncos +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 44.5 (-105), Under 44.5 (-115) Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Denver Broncos 67%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Denver Broncos at 67% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Denver Broncos to win outright with strong confidence. The home-field advantage, superior record, and Kansas City's road struggles create a favorable matchup for the Broncos. Expect a relatively close game within the 3-4 point spread range.

Predicted Score: Denver Broncos 23, Kansas City Chiefs 20

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Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Match Analysis: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs – Prediction Match Details Date: November 16, 2025 Time: 9:25 PM UTC Location: Denver, Colorado Game Overview Week 11 matchup between the Denver Broncos (8-2, 5-0 home) and Kansas City Chiefs (5-4, 1-3 away). The Broncos are the home favorites with a strong record, while the Chiefs […]

American Football Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs November 16, 2025

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Steelers, currently 5-4 and playing at home, face the Cincinnati Bengals who are struggling with a 3-6 record. The Steelers are favored by 5.5 points with moneyline odds of -245, reflecting expectations of a home win against an underperforming Bengals team.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Steelers have a moderate 5-4 record with a strong 3-2 home record and positive spread cover rate at home. Bengals have a weaker 3-6 record overall and 1-3 on the road, showing consistent struggles both outright and against the spread.
  • Recent matchup on 10/16 shows a narrow Bengals win 33-31, but that game had Bengals as underdogs +5.5 and the total went over 44.5 points. Their head-to-head tends to be competitive but Pittsburgh holds the home advantage.
  • No major injuries reported impacting starters heavily for either team, which should allow both squads to field near full strength.
  • Weather and field conditions at Heinz Field typically favor the home Steelers, especially late in the season. No reported travel or scheduling disruptions for either side.
  • Steelers are fighting to stay above .500 and secure a playoff push, giving them higher motivation compared to a Bengals team struggling to find consistency and with fewer postseason hopes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -245, away: +200 Pittsburgh Steelers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: -112, away: -108 Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pittsburgh Steelers -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Steelers moneyline win

Predicted Score: Steelers 27 – Bengals 17


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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Chargers Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jacksonville, FL

Game Overview

A critical AFC matchup with the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) visiting the Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4). Chargers seek a fourth consecutive win to solidify playoff positioning, while Jaguars aim to bounce back from a recent blowout loss at Houston.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chargers are in strong form at 7-3, riding a three-game winning streak, especially sharp on the road (3-1 away). Jaguars hold a 5-4 record with some inconsistency, recently suffering a tough fourth-quarter collapse against Houston.
  • Chargers favored historically when visiting by 3 points, winning about 62% of similar matchups since 2020 and performing slightly better ATS (+0.5 point cover on average).
  • No major injuries reported for key starters on either team that would significantly impact the outcome. Both teams appear near full strength.
  • Game played at Jacksonville’s home venue with typical weather and no unusual external conditions. Chargers travel well and are motivated by strong playoff push.
  • Chargers motivated to maintain momentum and playoff seeding. Jaguars driven by home crowd and desire to recover from recent collapse, but psychological blow may reduce confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jacksonville: +130, Los Angeles: -155 Los Angeles Chargers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Jacksonville: +3 -118, Los Angeles: -3 -102 Los Angeles Chargers -3 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -105 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Chargers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles Chargers moneyline win

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Chargers 24 – Jacksonville Jaguars 17


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Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Game Overview

The Minnesota Vikings host the Chicago Bears with the Vikings favored on the moneyline and spread. The Bears have a stronger overall season record (6-3) compared to the Vikings (4-5) and come in with recent momentum from a close win. The total points line is set at 48.5, indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bears hold a 6-3 record with solid recent form (5-3 last 8 games), while the Vikings sit at 4-5 with a weaker home record (1-3). The Bears have hit over on team totals frequently and perform better as away underdogs. The Vikings have been inconsistent at home but possess a defense capable of forcing turnovers.
  • Recent matchups show a competitive edge leaning slightly towards the Vikings at home. However, both teams have had close games, suggesting a balanced rivalry with minimal dominance.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters. Vikings' defensive leaders, such as Harrison Smith and Eric Wilson, are active and impactful. Bears' key defensive players like C.J. Gardner-Johnson are performing well, contributing to turnover opportunities.
  • Game played indoors at Minnesota's U.S. Bank Stadium removes weather variability. The timing favors a fully recovered team with no travel complications, yet Bears show strong situational performance on the road.
  • Bears are positioned for playoff contention with a better record, providing higher motivation in securing a road victory. Vikings need this game to improve their sub-.500 record, but recent losses could impact morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Bears: +130, Minnesota Vikings: -155 Minnesota Vikings ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Chicago Bears +3: -118, Minnesota Vikings -3: -102 Chicago Bears +3 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota Vikings -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Minnesota Vikings; Spread: Chicago Bears +3; Over/Under: Over 48.5 points

Predicted Score: Minnesota Vikings 27, Chicago Bears 24


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Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 16, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

Week 11 NFC South divisional matchup between the Atlanta Falcons (3-6, 2-2 home) and Carolina Panthers (5-5, 2-3 away). This is a critical game for both teams, with the Falcons looking to improve their playoff positioning despite a disappointing season, and the Panthers seeking to maintain momentum as a road underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Falcons are 1-4 as favorites this season, indicating significant trouble covering the spread despite their record. They are 4-4 in their last 10 games with a 2-2 home record, showing vulnerability at home. The Panthers are 6-3 as underdogs in their last 10 games—an exceptionally strong record that suggests they are undervalued by the market. The Panthers are 3-2 away from home, performing well on the road.
  • The Panthers show a 6-3-0 overall record versus the Falcons, and critically, a 3-2-0 record as away underdogs against Atlanta. This directly favors the Panthers in this exact situation.
  • Injury information is not available in the provided search results.
  • The game is being played at a neutral time (early afternoon kickoff) with no weather disadvantage mentioned. The Falcons' disappointing 3-6 record suggests potential locker room issues or coaching concerns.
  • The Falcons are desperate to improve their playoff chances after a disappointing season, potentially leading to overconfidence at home. The Panthers, as underdogs with strong historical performance against the Falcons, are likely motivated and operating with low expectations, which often leads to better execution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline ATL -185 / CAR +154 Carolina Panthers ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread ATL -3.5 -108 / CAR +3.5 -112 Carolina Panthers +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 42.5 -108 / Under 42.5 -112 Under 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carolina Panthers 47%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Carolina Panthers at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PANTHERS UPSET WIN. The Panthers' exceptional 6-3 underdog record over their last 10 games, combined with their 3-2 away record and 3-2 performance as away underdogs specifically against the Falcons, represents the highest expected value play. The Falcons' poor 1-4 record as favorites and vulnerable 2-2 home record indicate sportsbooks have overestimated their ability to cover. The Panthers should be competitive in this divisional matchup.

Predicted Score: Carolina Panthers 21, Atlanta Falcons 19


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Buffalo Bills vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Highmark Stadium

Game Overview

Buffalo Bills host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in a Week 11 NFL matchup. The Bills are favored at home, with both teams trending toward playoff contention but facing key injuries and inconsistent offensive performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Buffalo has averaged 24.3 PPG over the last 5 games, with a top-10 defense. Tampa Bay has struggled offensively, averaging just 19.8 PPG in their last 5, and ranks bottom-10 in yards per game. Bills have won 4 of their last 5, while Buccaneers have split their last 5.
  • Buffalo leads the all-time series 5-3, with the last meeting in 2022 (Bills won 31-6). Bills have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Bills: RB James Cook (questionable, ankle), WR Khalil Shakir (out, concussion). Buccaneers: QB Baker Mayfield (probable, knee), WR Mike Evans (out, hamstring), TE Cade Otton (out, knee). Key absences for Tampa Bay hurt their red-zone efficiency and passing attack.
  • Game will be played in cold, windy conditions (highs of 42°F, 15 mph winds). This favors run-heavy teams and suppresses passing efficiency. Buffalo’s home record is 4-1 this season.
  • Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning. Bills are chasing the AFC East lead, while Buccaneers are clinging to a wild card spot. Bills have more to gain with a win, adding extra motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -250, away: 205 Buffalo Bills ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: -5.5 -110, away: 5.5 -110 Buffalo Bills -5.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 47.5 -110, under: 47.5 -110 Under 47.5 ★★★★☆ 76%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Buffalo Bills 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Buffalo Bills win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total points line due to weather and defensive strength.

Predicted Score: Buffalo Bills 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17


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New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MetLife Stadium

Game Overview

Week 11 NFL matchup between the New York Giants and Green Bay Packers at MetLife Stadium. The Packers enter as heavy favorites, with strong offensive momentum and a healthier roster compared to the Giants, who have struggled with injuries and inconsistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Green Bay has won 4 of their last 5, led by a balanced offense and improving defense. The Giants have lost 3 of their last 4, with offensive inefficiency and defensive lapses.
  • Packers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, including a 27-22 victory in their last matchup in 2022. Green Bay has dominated recent H2H, especially in regular season games.
  • Giants missing key starters: WR Malik Nabers (questionable), LB Micah McFadden (out), and CB Aaron Robinson (out). Packers have only minor depth concerns, with no major starters listed out.
  • Game played in New Jersey, with potential for cold, windy conditions. Packers have shown better cold-weather adaptability this season.
  • Packers are fighting for a playoff spot, while Giants are trending toward a rebuild. Green Bay has higher playoff urgency and roster continuity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 320, away: -410 Green Bay Packers ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: 7 -108, away: -7 -112 Green Bay Packers -7 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 42.5 -115, under: 42.5 -105 Under 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Green Bay Packers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Green Bay Packers to win outright and cover the -7 spread, with the game finishing under the total due to defensive adjustments and weather.

Predicted Score: Green Bay Packers 24, New York Giants 17


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Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Game Overview

Week 11 AFC South divisional matchup between the Tennessee Titans (home) and Houston Texans (away). The Texans are favored by 7.5 points and heavily favored on the moneyline at -278, reflecting their recent dominance in the series and likely superior record. The Texans are attempting to sweep the season series after winning in Week 4.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Texans have dominated recent matchups, winning 4 of their last 5 games against Tennessee. Houston is currently favored by sportsbooks, indicating a stronger overall record and performance this season. The Titans, playing at home, have won the all-time series 24-23 but are underperforming relative to Houston in 2025.
  • Texans lead recent form 4-1 over the past five meetings. The series was split last season. Historically, the Titans won the first two matchups (17-10 in 2002 and 13-3 in 2002), but Houston has reversed this trend significantly in recent years.
  • Injury information is not available in the provided data. This represents a significant unknown factor that could shift probabilities materially.
  • Divisional rivalry games often feature tighter margins than suggested by regular season records. Home field advantage at Nissan Stadium provides the Titans with meaningful support. The point spread has moved from -6 in Week 4 to -7.5 in Week 11, suggesting the Texans' confidence has increased or the Titans' performance has declined further.
  • Houston is seeking to sweep the season series and maintain playoff positioning. Tennessee, as the home team, carries motivation to protect home turf against a division rival and break their recent losing streak in the matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston: -278 | Tennessee: +225 Houston Texans ML ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Houston: -6 (-108) | Tennessee: +6 (-112) Tennessee Titans +6.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 37.5 (-102) | Under: 37.5 (-118) Under 37.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Texans -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 37.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 37.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Texans win 24-17. The Texans' strong recent form, superior moneyline odds, and offensive capability overcome Tennessee's home-field advantage. However, the Titans keep this game closer than the -7.5 spread suggests due to divisional context and home support.

Predicted Score: Houston Texans 24, Tennessee Titans 17


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Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders Prediction NFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

The Miami Dolphins and Washington Commanders meet in the first regular-season NFL game in Spain, both teams holding identical 3-7 records. Miami enters the game after a morale-boosting 30-13 win over Buffalo, while Washington is struggling with a five-game losing streak and a mid-season defensive coordinator change.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have underwhelming overall performance this season (Miami 3-7, Washington 3-7). Miami showed recent improvement with their blowout win over Buffalo, while Washington has allowed an average of 28 points and 6.5 yards per play, highlighting defensive weaknesses on both sides.
  • No recent direct matchups available this season. Historical context is limited given the venues and schedules. However, both teams have been competitive but inconsistent, with Miami slightly favored due to recent momentum.
  • There are no major injury reports impacting key starters for either team, although Washington's defensive struggles hint at personnel and scheme issues rather than absences.
  • The neutral-site game in Madrid could slightly reduce home-field advantage for Miami. Weather is controlled indoors at Santiago Bernabéu, neutralizing climate effects. The historic nature of the match could motivate both teams.
  • Miami appears more motivated after snapping a losing streak notably against a strong Buffalo Bills team. Washington is under pressure to stop their losing streak and adapt to coaching changes, but morale is likely lower.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami Dolphins: -155, Washington Commanders: +130 Miami Dolphins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Miami Dolphins: -2.5 -115, Washington Commanders: +2.5 -105 Miami Dolphins -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -112, Under: 47.5 -108 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Miami Dolphins -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the neutral venue, Miami's recent improved performance and slightly better defensive profile give them the edge to win straight up and cover the spread. Given both defenses' weakness, the total over is favored.

Predicted Score: Miami Dolphins 27 – Washington Commanders 20


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San Diego State Aztecs vs. Boise State Broncos Prediction NCAAF in American Football

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Match Analysis: San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-16
  • Time: 3:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Snapdragon Stadium

Game Overview

San Diego State Aztecs (7-2) host Boise State Broncos (6-3) in a pivotal Mountain West matchup. Both teams show solid records, with San Diego State favored slightly at home. Offensive capabilities are balanced with Boise State featuring a strong rushing attack and San Diego State a stout defense. The matchup is expected to be competitive but leans to a defensive, moderately low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Diego State is 3-2 in recent games and has covered the spread in four straight home games, showing consistency. Boise State is 3-1 in their last four, with strong rushing but struggles against favorites and on the road recently.
  • The favorite has won 28 of Boise State's last 30 games historically. San Diego State has had the edge in covering spreads at home against Boise State lately.
  • No major injuries reported for starting key players on either side, maintaining team integrity for both squads.
  • Game played at Snapdragon Stadium favors the home Aztecs. Weather conditions likely neutral—no significant impact expected.
  • San Diego State aims to solidify its Mountain West standing and maintain a strong home record. Boise State is highly motivated to remain tied for first in the conference but suffers underdog disadvantages here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Diego State -142, Boise State +120 San Diego State ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread San Diego State -2.5 -122, Boise State +2.5 +100 San Diego State -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 41.5 -104, Under 41.5 -118 Under 41.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Diego State Aztecs 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 41.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 41.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Diego State Aztecs to win outright, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total going under 41.5 points.

Predicted Score: San Diego State Aztecs 24, Boise State Broncos 17


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