Match Analysis: Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Game Overview
The Minnesota Vikings host the Chicago Bears with the Vikings favored on the moneyline and spread. The Bears have a stronger overall season record (6-3) compared to the Vikings (4-5) and come in with recent momentum from a close win. The total points line is set at 48.5, indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Bears hold a 6-3 record with solid recent form (5-3 last 8 games), while the Vikings sit at 4-5 with a weaker home record (1-3). The Bears have hit over on team totals frequently and perform better as away underdogs. The Vikings have been inconsistent at home but possess a defense capable of forcing turnovers.
- Recent matchups show a competitive edge leaning slightly towards the Vikings at home. However, both teams have had close games, suggesting a balanced rivalry with minimal dominance.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters. Vikings' defensive leaders, such as Harrison Smith and Eric Wilson, are active and impactful. Bears' key defensive players like C.J. Gardner-Johnson are performing well, contributing to turnover opportunities.
- Game played indoors at Minnesota's U.S. Bank Stadium removes weather variability. The timing favors a fully recovered team with no travel complications, yet Bears show strong situational performance on the road.
- Bears are positioned for playoff contention with a better record, providing higher motivation in securing a road victory. Vikings need this game to improve their sub-.500 record, but recent losses could impact morale.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Bears: +130, Minnesota Vikings: -155 | Minnesota Vikings | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Chicago Bears +3: -118, Minnesota Vikings -3: -102 | Chicago Bears +3 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110 | Over 48.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota Vikings -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 48.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Minnesota Vikings; Spread: Chicago Bears +3; Over/Under: Over 48.5 points
Predicted Score: Minnesota Vikings 27, Chicago Bears 24