Match Analysis: Georgia Bulldogs vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Stegeman Coliseum, Athens, GA
Game Overview
Intrastate rivalry matchup between two undefeated 3-0 teams. Georgia hosts Georgia Tech in a game that heavily favors the Bulldogs based on performance differential. Both teams enter undefeated, but Georgia demonstrates significantly superior offensive efficiency (50.2% FG, 106.0 PPG) compared to Georgia Tech's struggles (42.0% FG, 66.7 PPG). This is a classic case of record convergence masking substantial talent gap.
Key Factors to Consider
- Georgia: 3-0 record, 106.0 PPG, 50.2% FG, 44.7 RPG, 19.3 APG. Most recent win vs Morehead State (120-81) featured dominant performance with 56% FG, 45.9% from three, 41 rebounds, 29 assists, only 9 turnovers. Scored 94+ points in all three games. Georgia Tech: 3-0 record, 66.7 PPG (323rd in D1), 42.0% FG, 31.3% from three, 63.0% FT. Wins against inferior competition (SELA, UMES). Significant offensive limitations with low scoring output.
- Georgia has won each of its last 20 night games against non-conference opponents at Stegeman Coliseum. Georgia Tech has lost four of its last five road games against SEC opponents. Georgia Tech has lost the first half in three of its last four games at Stegeman Coliseum. Road team won first half in only three of last four matchups between these teams.
- No injury reports available in provided data.
- Home court advantage heavily favors Georgia. Georgia Tech's strength of schedule ranks 328th while Georgia ranks 17th, indicating Georgia has faced superior competition. Georgia Tech's recent wins against weak non-conference opponents inflate their record. Stegeman Coliseum represents hostile environment for visiting ACC team.
- Both teams undefeated but Georgia seeking to prove dominance in rivalry setting. Georgia Tech facing massive talent evaluation moment against superior competition. Home team typically highly motivated in rivalry games.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia -1400 / Georgia Tech +800 | Georgia Bulldogs | ★★★★☆ 86% |
| Spread | Georgia -13.5 -120 / Georgia Tech +13.5 -102 | Georgia Bulldogs -13.5 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 149.5 -110 / Under 149.5 -110 | Under 149.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia Bulldogs -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Georgia Bulldogs are vastly superior to Georgia Tech despite identical records. The 14-point spread accurately reflects the performance gap. Georgia's elite offensive efficiency (50.2% FG) versus Georgia Tech's significant weakness (66.7 PPG) creates structural mismatch. Georgia Tech's three wins came against non-conference bottom-feeders while Georgia has performed against better competition. Expect Georgia to control game wire-to-wire, likely winning by 16-18 points.
Predicted Score: Georgia 82, Georgia Tech 64
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