Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: CU Events Center, Boulder, CO
Game Overview
The undefeated Colorado Buffaloes (2-0) host the Providence Friars (2-1) in a closely matched NCAA basketball game. Both teams have shown solid form, but Colorado has a defensive edge and home court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado is undefeated with a 2-0 record, showing strong defense allowing 175 points over two games and efficient shooting led by Isaiah Johnson (20.5 PPG, 58.8% FG). Providence is 2-1, averaging higher scoring but allowing more points defensively, with Jason Edwards leading overall scoring at 17.7 PPG.
- Recent direct matchups show competitive games, with Colorado holding a slight advantage at home. Both teamsβ playing styles suggest a defensive and pace-controlled game may develop.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starters or key rotation players ahead of the game.
- Colorado enjoys home court advantage at CU Events Center. Providence is on the road and has historically struggled as an underdog and in Friday games, including a 1-11 SU record on Fridays recently.
- Both teams seek to maintain strong early-season momentum. Colorado aims to remain undefeated and defend home court; Providence aims to prove resilience on the road but has been historically weaker in this scenario.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Buffaloes: -110, Providence Friars: -110 | Colorado Buffaloes | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Colorado Buffaloes -1.5: +104, Providence Friars +1.5: -128 | Colorado Buffaloes -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 163.5: -110, Under 163.5: -110 | Under 163.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Buffaloes 11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Buffaloes to win outright, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under the 163.5 total points
Predicted Score: Colorado Buffaloes 78 – Providence Friars 70