Match Analysis: DePaul Blue Demons vs Northwestern Wildcats - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Wintrust Arena, Chicago
Game Overview
Northwestern Wildcats visit DePaul Blue Demons in a non-conference matchup featuring two defensively elite teams. Northwestern enters undefeated at 3-0 playing their first road game of the season, while DePaul is 2-1 after suffering their first loss. Both teams rank in the top-70 nationally in points allowed, setting up a defensive battle with limited offensive firepower expected.
Key Factors to Consider
- Northwestern has won all three games this season and won 11 consecutive Friday games against non-conference opponents. They hold the 10th-best defensive efficiency in the country. DePaul has won 12 of their last 13 home games against non-conference opponents but lost 14 of their last 15 night games following a home loss (they're coming off their first defeat). Northwestern's defensive rating (69.2 PPG allowed) is significantly better than DePaul's (74.5 PPG allowed).
- No historical data provided for direct matchups between these programs in the current dataset.
- No injury information available in the provided data.
- This is Northwestern's first road game of the season, which introduces an element of uncertainty. DePaul plays at home where they've been dominant against non-conference foes. The game features two of the nation's most efficient defensive units, suggesting a lower-scoring affair. Recent game totals for both teams show mixed results: Northwestern's last six Friday games produced 137 or fewer points, while ten of DePaul's last 12 home non-conference games produced 142+ points.
- Northwestern seeks to maintain their perfect record on the road. DePaul looks to bounce back immediately from their first loss and protect their strong home record. Northwestern won their last 11 Friday games and has won the first half in nine straight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | DePaul +225 / Northwestern -280 | Northwestern Moneyline | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | DePaul +5.5 (-105) / Northwestern -5.5 (-115) | Northwestern -5.5 | ★★★★☆ 71% |
| Over/under | Over 139.5 (-110) / Under 139.5 (-110) | Under 139.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northwestern Wildcats 141% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Northwestern Wildcats at 141% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 62.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Northwestern will cover as road favorites in a defensive grind. Multiple predictive models (Dimers 74%, CapperTek simulations) favor Northwestern despite the road disadvantage. Northwestern's perfect record, superior defense, Friday night success pattern, and first-half dominance against unranked opponents outweigh DePaul's home court advantage and recent defensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Northwestern 73, DePaul 67
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