Match Analysis: Brown Bears vs Hampton Pirates – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: Paul Bailey Pizzitola Sports Center, Providence
Game Overview
Brown Bears host the Hampton Pirates in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Brown enters 0-3 with poor recent form, while Hampton is 1-2 and coming off a blowout loss. Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring, with recent games trending over the total.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brown has lost all three games, including two at home, and is 0-3 ATS. Their last three games have gone over the total. Hampton is 1-2, with one ATS win, and their last two games have gone under the total. Both teams have struggled defensively, with Brown allowing 70+ in two of three games and Hampton giving up 90+ in two of three.
- No recent H2H data available for this matchup.
- Hampton's Landon Lewis is listed with an ankle injury, which could limit his impact.
- Brown is playing at home, but their home record is 0-2 and 0-1 ATS. The venue is a mid-major arena with typical home-court advantage, but Brown's recent home performance is weak.
- Both teams are early in the season and looking for momentum. Brown is desperate for a win after three losses, while Hampton seeks to rebound from a blowout loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -115 | Brown Bears | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | -1.5 -104 | Hampton Pirates +1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | 143.5 -114 | Under | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brown Bears 16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 143.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 143.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brown Bears win a close game, but the total stays under due to defensive struggles and injuries.
Predicted Score: 68-64