Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Lakers (8-4) visit the New Orleans Pelicans (2-9) who are struggling with a three-game losing streak. The Lakers enter as heavy favorites with a -450 moneyline and a 10.5-point spread, reflecting their stronger form and head-to-head advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lakers display solid form at 8-4 with strong offensive output, while Pelicans struggle at 2-9 with defensive vulnerabilities, allowing over 120 points in recent losses.
- Lakers hold a 3-0 recent advantage over Pelicans and have covered 2-1 ATS in these matchups, asserting dominance in both straight wins and against the spread.
- Pelicans' Zion Williamson is out with a hamstring injury, limiting their frontcourt strength. Lakers are mostly healthy with LeBron James practicing and in form.
- Game at Pelicans home with no significant external disruptions. Lakers show capability to perform well on road as moneyline favorites.
- Lakers motivated to maintain standing and dominance; Pelicans eager to end losing streak but face uphill battle against a strong opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lakers: -450, Pelicans: +350 | Lakers | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Lakers -10.5: -110, Pelicans +10.5: -110 | Pelicans +10.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 228.5: -110, Under 228.5: -110 | Over 228.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Los Angeles Lakers -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 228.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 228.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lakers moneyline win, Pelicans +10.5 cover the spread, and the game will go over 228.5 points.
Predicted Score: Lakers 120 – Pelicans 112