Match Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs UCF Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Reed Arena, College Station
Game Overview
Texas A&M hosts UCF in a non-conference matchup featuring two evenly-matched teams with identical 2-1 records. Both squads boast top-100 offenses and have demonstrated scoring prowess early in the season. This represents UCF's first road test after starting 2-1 at home, while Texas A&M seeks to extend their perfect home record this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas A&M has won both home games this season but suffered a 24-point road loss to Oklahoma State. UCF has won at home vs. Hofstra (82-78) and Florida A&M (97-60) but lost to SEC opponent Vanderbilt (105-93). UCF shot 55% against Florida A&M and maintains 51.7% shooting efficiency. Texas A&M's defense has shown vulnerability, surrendering 87 points to Oklahoma State. Both teams averaging ~94.5 points per game.
- No recent history provided in available data. This appears to be a non-conference matchup without established H2H patterns.
- No injury information available in provided data.
- Texas A&M has won 28 consecutive night games against non-conference opponents at Reed Arena. UCF has won 8 consecutive night games against non-conference opponents. The venue advantage strongly favors Texas A&M's home court dominance.
- Texas A&M seeks redemption after the blowout loss to Oklahoma State and aims to maintain home dominance. UCF faces their first major road test and critical early-season momentum opportunity. Both teams have identical records and motivation to improve standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas A&M -800 | UCF +540 | Texas A&M Moneyline | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Texas A&M -11.5 -106 | UCF +11.5 -114 | Texas A&M -11.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 170.5 -106 | Under 170.5 -114 | Over 170.5 | β β β β β 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas A&M Aggies 463% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 170.5 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Texas A&M Aggies at 463% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 85.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas A&M to win by 10-12 points in a high-scoring affair. The Aggies' dominant home record combined with defensive vulnerabilities from UCF's limited road experience provides strong value at current spreads. However, UCF's offensive firepower keeps the total elevated.
Predicted Score: Texas A&M 87, UCF 75