Match Analysis: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Milwaukee Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, Texas
Game Overview
Texas Tech, ranked #11 nationally, hosts Milwaukee in a non-conference matchup. Texas Tech is a heavy favorite, coming off a close loss to Illinois, while Milwaukee is reeling from a 31-point road defeat at Indiana. The Red Raiders are dominant at home and possess a far superior roster, while Milwaukee struggles on the road and is dealing with key personnel losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas Tech averages 91 points per game and allows 72.7, showing elite offensive efficiency and solid defense. Milwaukee is 2-2, with a poor road record and a recent blowout loss. Texas Tech covered the spread in 10 of 18 home games last season, while Milwaukee covered only 6 of 15 away games.
- No recent H2H meetings; Texas Tech is a massive favorite in all metrics.
- Milwaukee is missing top rebounder Jamichael Stillwell and primary facilitator Themus Fulks, severely weakening their frontcourt and playmaking. Texas Tech has no major reported injuries.
- Texas Tech is playing at home in a hostile environment, while Milwaukee is on a tough road trip after a demoralizing loss. The Red Raiders are motivated to bounce back after a narrow defeat to a ranked opponent.
- Texas Tech is highly motivated to avoid an upset and prove themselves after a close loss. Milwaukee is likely to be mentally fatigued and outmatched.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -30000, away: 4000 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Not available |
| Spread | home: -28.5, away: 28.5 | Texas Tech Red Raiders -28.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 163.5, under: 163.5 | Under 163.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas Tech Red Raiders -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 163.5 41% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 163.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Tech will dominate on both ends, covering the spread and pushing the total under due to Milwaukee's offensive limitations and Texas Tech's defensive pressure.
Predicted Score: Texas Tech 92, Milwaukee 68