Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: C. M. Tad Smith Coliseum, Oxford, MS
Game Overview
The Ole Miss Rebels (3-0) host the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (2-1) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Ole Miss is undefeated, demonstrating strong offensive efficiency, while CSU Bakersfield struggles to keep pace, particularly on offense and on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ole Miss averages 85.7 PPG on 50.0% shooting, with strong ball movement (17.3 assists per game) and defense focused on paint protection. CSU Bakersfield averages 72.3 PPG on 40.7% shooting, showing defensive effort but lower offensive output and shooting efficiency.
- Limited recent H2H data, but Ole Miss has won nine consecutive non-conference home games including against similar opponents. CSU Bakersfield has lost three of their last four non-conference games and often falls behind in the first half.
- No significant injury reports impacting key players on either side.
- Ole Miss enjoys home-court advantage at C.M. Tad Smith Coliseum with strong crowd support. The gameβs timing (late Friday night) favors home team acclimatization.
- Ole Miss aims to maintain undefeated record and assert dominance early in the season, while Bakersfield looks to build momentum but likely lacks the offensive firepower to keep pace.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ole Miss -10000, CSU Bakersfield +3000 | Ole Miss Rebels | β β β β β 93% |
| Spread | Ole Miss -25.5 -110, CSU Bakersfield +25.5 -110 | Ole Miss Rebels -25.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 146.5 -106, Under 146.5 -114 | Under 146.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ole Miss Rebels -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 146.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 146.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ole Miss Rebels to win moneyline, cover the -25.5 spread, and the game to go under 146.5 points
Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 86 – CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners 52