Match Analysis: Iona Gaels vs Fordham Rams – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Hynes Athletics Center, New Rochelle, NY
Game Overview
Iona Gaels (2-0) host Fordham Rams (2-1) in a non-conference matchup. Iona has started strong with efficient offensive play and active defense, while Fordham has relied on solid defense and rebounding despite inconsistent shooting.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iona is shooting 51.5% from the field (42nd nationally) and 56.9% in their last game, with strong ball movement (16.5 assists per game). They average 93.0 PPG and allow 82.0 PPG with 8.5 steals per game. Fordham scores 76.7 PPG on 44.7% shooting with poor three-point shooting at 21.5%. Iona has been consistently dominant, while Fordham barely escaped Wagner 63-61.
- No prior head-to-head history available for these non-conference opponents.
- Josh Rivera (Fordham) listed as questionable with undisclosed injury, posting limited production recently. No other key injuries reported.
- This is a home game for Iona at Hynes Athletics Center. Iona has shown strong form with 2-0 record and 2-0 ATS record. Public betting heavily favors Iona (87% of money on Iona vs 13% on Fordham).
- Both teams undefeated in conference play, but Iona's superior efficiency and tempo control gives them clear advantage. Fordham seeking statement road win but limited by offensive inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fordham +194 | Iona -245 | Iona Gaels | β β β β β 76% |
| Spread | Fordham +5.5 (-110) | Iona -5.5 (-110) | Iona -5.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 158.5 (-114) | Under 158.5 (-110) | Over 158.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iona Gaels -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 158.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 158.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iona Gaels to win and cover the spread. Iona's elite shooting efficiency, superior ball movement, active defense, and home-court advantage overcome Fordham's rebounding edge. Expect Iona to control tempo and build lead in transition.
Predicted Score: Iona 84, Fordham 72