Match Analysis: Rhode Island Rams vs Albany Great Danes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Thomas M. Ryan Center, Kingston, RI
Game Overview
The Rhode Island Rams (2-1) host the Albany Great Danes (1-2) in a matchup where Rhode Island is a strong favorite, favored by 14.5 points. Rhode Island has a higher scoring and defensive efficiency and a home-court advantage, while Albany struggles on the road and in night games. Odds heavily favor Rhode Island on the moneyline, spread, and a moderately high total points line.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rhode Island averages 79.3 points per game on 49.1% shooting, allowing 67 points on 41% shooting. Albany averages 57.5 points on 44.7% shooting and allows 54 points per game. Rhode Island has outperformed Albany on recent form and scoring margin.
- Recent data shows Rhode Island has dominated the home matchups, winning the first half in four of its last five home games and Albany having lost their last five night games against Atlantic 10 opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for either team ahead of this game.
- Game is played at Rhode Islandβs home arena, giving them a clear home-court advantage. Albany struggles particularly in away and night games.
- Rhode Island looks motivated to start strong in their conference season at home; Albany has limited motivation given recent poor night game performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rhode Island: -1200, Albany: +725 | Rhode Island Rams | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Rhode Island -14.5 (-105), Albany +14.5 (-115) | Rhode Island Rams -14.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 151.5 (-105), Under 151.5 (-115) | Under 151.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rhode Island Rams -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 151.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rhode Island Rams to win straight-up, cover the 14.5 point spread, and the game will go under the total of 151.5 points.
Predicted Score: Rhode Island Rams 78 – Albany Great Danes 64