Match Analysis: Bucknell Bison vs Hofstra Pride – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 14, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Sojka Pavilion, Lewisburg, PA
Game Overview
Hofstra Pride (1-2) travels to face Bucknell Bison (2-1) in a non-conference matchup. Hofstra enters as a slight favorite despite poor road form, while Bucknell has demonstrated strong home performance. This game features contrasting team trajectories with Hofstra showing offensive firepower but defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hofstra averages 75.5 PPG on 46% shooting with strong free throw shooting (70.2%), but allows 81.5 PPG on 43% opponent shooting. Bucknell scores 71.3 PPG on 43.3% shooting while allowing just 68.3 PPG on 39.9% opponent shooting. Hofstra's offense is superior but their defense is significantly weaker. Cruz Davis leads Hofstra with 18 PPG (24 points vs Princeton recently), while Amon Dorries anchors Bucknell with 15.7 PPG and 5 RPG.
- No direct historical data provided for recent matchups between these teams in the search results.
- No injuries reported in the available data for either team.
- Bucknell has won each of its last eight night games at Sojka Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents. Hofstra has lost each of its last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents. Hofstra is 0-2 on the road this season. The game is played at Bucknell's home arena, a significant advantage given their dominant home record.
- Bucknell seeks to extend home dominance and improve to 3-1. Hofstra needs to reverse poor road form (0-2) and get back to .500. Home court advantage heavily favors Bucknell's motivation and execution.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bucknell +115 | Hofstra -140 | Bucknell Bison | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Bucknell +2.5 (-115) | Hofstra -2.5 (-105) | Bucknell Bison +2.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 139.5 (-105) | Under 139.5 (-115) | Over 139.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bucknell Bison 25% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 139.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Bucknell Bison at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
BUCKNELL BISON to win straight up. The combination of dominant home court performance, superior defensive efficiency, and Hofstra's severe road struggles creates a compelling case despite being slight underdogs. Sojka Pavilion represents a fortress environment, and Hofstra's defensive vulnerabilities (allowing 81.5 PPG) will be exposed by Bucknell's balanced offensive attack.
Predicted Score: Bucknell 73, Hofstra 70