Match Analysis: Ohio State Buckeyes vs UCLA Bruins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, Ohio
Game Overview
No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes (9-0) host UCLA Bruins (3-6) in a Big Ten matchup. Ohio State is a heavy favorite, with UCLA entering as a 32.5-point underdog. The over/under is set at 48.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ohio State is undefeated and averaging 49.4 points per game, with a strong home record and dominant ATS performance. UCLA has struggled, winning only 3 of 9 games and averaging far fewer points.
- No recent H2H meetings, but Ohio State has historically dominated non-conference and conference opponents of UCLA's caliber.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of latest updates.
- Game is at Ohio Stadium, a tough environment for visiting teams. Weather is expected to be neutral.
- Ohio State is fighting for playoff positioning, while UCLA is out of contention and likely playing for pride.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -8000, away: 2200 | Ohio State Buckeyes | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | home: -32.5 -110, away: 32.5 -110 | Ohio State Buckeyes -32.5 | β β β β β 82% |
| Over/under | over: 48.5 -110, under: 48.5 -110 | Under 48.5 | β β β β β 74% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ohio State Buckeyes -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 48.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ohio State wins decisively, covering the spread and keeping the game under the total due to UCLA's offensive limitations.
Predicted Score: Ohio State 38 – UCLA 10