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Pat Sabatini vs. Chepe Mariscal Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Pat Sabatini vs Chepe Mariscal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC 322 – Early Prelims, Featherweight Division

Game Overview

Pat Sabatini and Chepe Mariscal face off in a featherweight bout where Sabatini enters as a slight favorite due to his superior submission skills and defensive striking. Mariscal's aggressive striking volume contrasts with Sabatini's precision and grappling expertise.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sabatini holds a 20-5 record with a balanced style leveraging submissions and solid striking defense; Mariscal stands at 18-6-0 (1 NC), known for high volume striking but lower finishing rate.
  • No known previous meetings; both fighters bring contrasting styles making match-up analysis hypothetical but favoring Sabatini's grappling control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • Fight scheduled for UFC 322 early prelims with no significant environmental factors reported; fighters have comparable reach and size.
  • Sabatini likely motivated to capitalize on experience and maintain UFC standing; Mariscal seeking to prove striking dominance and improve consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pat Sabatini: -130, Chepe Mariscal: +110 Pat Sabatini ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Pat Sabatini -3.5: +145, Chepe Mariscal +3.5: -200 Pat Sabatini -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -200, Under 2.5 rounds: +154 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pat Sabatini 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Sabatini at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pat Sabatini to win via submission or decision

Predicted Score: Pat Sabatini wins by Submission Round 3


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Pat Sabatini vs. Chepe Mariscal Prediction

Match Analysis: Pat Sabatini vs Chepe Mariscal – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-15 Time: 9:00 PM UTC Location: UFC 322 – Early Prelims, Featherweight Division Game Overview Pat Sabatini and Chepe Mariscal face off in a featherweight bout where Sabatini enters as a slight favorite due to his superior submission skills and defensive striking. Mariscal's […]

Chepe Mariscal MMA/Boxing November 15, 2025 Pat Sabatini

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Tracy Cortez vs. Erin Blanchfield Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tracy Cortez vs Erin Blanchfield – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Erin Blanchfield, the -258 favorite, is a dynamic striker with higher significant strikes landed per minute and strong defensive takedown skills, while Tracy Cortez, the +210 underdog, boasts better takedown accuracy and higher striking accuracy. Both fighters have solid records (13-2 for Blanchfield, 12-2 for Cortez) and comparable physical stats, making this a competitive flyweight bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blanchfield has a slightly faster average fight pace and more significant strikes landed per minute (5.24 vs 3.79), but Cortez has better takedown success (47% vs 31%) and striking accuracy (49% vs 44%), suggesting a balanced contest with contrasting styles.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Blanchfield and Cortez, so outcome depends on current form and style matchup advantages.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating they should perform at peak levels.
  • Fight takes place at Madison Square Garden with both fighters experienced in high-profile events, minimal travel concerns, and no external disruptions indicated.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to enhance their standing in the flyweight division, with Blanchfield aiming to reinforce her favorite status and Cortez seeking an upset victory to climb rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Erin Blanchfield: -258, Tracy Cortez: +210 Erin Blanchfield ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Erin Blanchfield -3.5: +120, Tracy Cortez +3.5: -165 Tracy Cortez +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -445, Under 2.5: +310 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tracy Cortez -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 199%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 199% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 64.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Erin Blanchfield to win by decision

Predicted Score: Erin Blanchfield wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)


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Gerald Meerschaert vs. Kyle Daukaus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Kyle Daukaus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC 322, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This middleweight bout features Gerald Meerschaert, a seasoned veteran known for his submission skills, against Kyle Daukaus, a younger and highly efficient southpaw grappler with high takedown and submission averages.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kyle Daukaus holds a 16-4-0 record with recent wins and better striking accuracy (53% vs. Meerschaert's 45%). Meerschaert has a larger total record (37-20-0) but appears less competitive in recent outings, including a loss signifying decline.
  • They have no direct previous matchups.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight will take place on UFC 322 prelims. The younger fighter Daukaus may have better conditioning and recovery. No notable external disruptions.
  • Kyle Daukaus is entering prime years at age 32 and looks motivated to ascend rankings. Meerschaert at 37 may be motivated but shows signs of career decline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline gerald_meerschaert: 330, kyle_daukaus: -425 Kyle Daukaus ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread gerald_meerschaert_+7.5: 115, kyle_daukaus_-7.5: -155 Kyle Daukaus -7.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_1.5: -175, under_1.5: 135 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kyle Daukaus -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 69%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 69% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 51.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kyle Daukaus to win by submission with a fight under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Kyle Daukaus wins via submission at 1:30 of round 2


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Beneil Dariush vs. Benoit Saint-Denis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Beneil Dariush vs Benoit Saint-Denis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night event

Game Overview

Beneil Dariush (+158) faces Benoit Saint-Denis (-183) in a lightweight (155 lbs) matchup. Saint-Denis is favored as the stronger striker with recent momentum, while Dariush returns from a layoff but possesses superior grappling and submission skills. This is a competitive clash between contrasting fighting styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dariush recently defeated Renato Moicano via unanimous decision at UFC 317 (Jun 2024), showcasing his ability to control fights over five rounds. Saint-Denis appears to be the more active competitor with recent fight activity and striking prowess. Dariush's extended layoff between fights raises questions about ring rust and timing.
  • No previous head-to-head record exists between these fighters. This is a fresh matchup with no direct historical data to reference.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time. Both appear healthy and cleared to compete.
  • The three-round format (typical for non-championship UFC bouts) favors aggressive, high-output strikers. Saint-Denis' striking advantages become more pronounced in shorter fights. Dariush's grappling and submission game may not have sufficient rounds to fully implement his strategy.
  • Both fighters are competing at elite lightweight level with career trajectory implications. Saint-Denis carries favoritism and momentum. Dariush faces pressure to prove his recent layoff hasn't diminished his competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dariush +158 / Saint-Denis -183 Saint-Denis Win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Dariush +3.5 (105) / Saint-Denis -3.5 (-135) Saint-Denis -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds (-165) / Under 1.5 rounds (125) Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benoit Saint-Denis wins by decision or striking-based finish. The shorter three-round format, combined with Saint-Denis' striking advantages and recent activity, outweighs Dariush's superior grappling credentials.

Predicted Score: Saint-Denis 29-28 via Unanimous Decision or Saint-Denis TKO Round 2


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Rodolfo Vieira vs. Bo Nickal Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Bo Nickal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

The middleweight bout between Bo Nickal and Rodolfo Vieira at UFC 322 features two high-level grapplers and finishers with contrasting styles and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bo Nickal holds a 7-1 record, showing a strong striking accuracy (59%) and solid defense (absorbing 2.11 significant strikes per minute). Rodolfo Vieira is 11-3 with an aggressive style focusing on submissions, landing more significant strikes per minute (3.77) but absorbing more (4.12). Nickal's average fight time is shorter (5:08) versus Vieira's longer bouts (9:43).
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Nickal and Vieira have occurred, making this a stylistic matchup between Nickal's striking and wrestling versus Vieira's jiu-jitsu and submission prowess.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter entering this bout, indicating both are at full strength.
  • The fight takes place in Nickal's home country (USA) in a major venue adding potential crowd support. Vieira is slightly older (36 vs. 29) which may affect endurance and recovery.
  • Nickal is coming off a recent TKO loss but motivated to rebound against a submission specialist, while Vieira seeks validation as a top middleweight grappler stepping into the UFC spotlight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bo Nickal -205, Rodolfo Vieira +170 Bo Nickal ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bo Nickal -3.5 -105, Rodolfo Vieira +3.5 -125 Bo Nickal -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -166, Under 2.5 +130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodolfo Vieira -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bo Nickal to win by decision

Predicted Score: Bo Nickal wins by unanimous decision without significant damage


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Angela Hill vs. Fatima Kline Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Angela Hill vs Fatima Kline – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Angela Hill, a veteran with an 18-15 record, faces the younger and less experienced Fatima Kline, who holds an 8-1 record. Kline is the strong favorite with superior recent form, physical advantages, and defensive metrics, making her the expected winner in this strawweight bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hill shows a higher strike output per minute (5.43) but concedes more (4.92), while Kline’s output is lower (3.94) but she concedes far fewer strikes (2.29). Kline’s 8-1 recent performance contrasts with Hill’s mixed 18-15 overall record and slower average fight time.
  • No prior head-to-head encounter between Hill and Kline, making styles and recent form critical factors.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the fight.
  • The bout takes place at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue with no documented crowd advantage. Kline's youth and rising trajectory may be supported by stronger promotion and motivation.
  • Kline, at 25 years old, is motivated to consolidate her ascent in the strawweight division, while Hill, at 40, may find motivation tempered by age and career longevity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Angela Hill: 390, Fatima Kline: -520 Fatima Kline ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Angela Hill +5.5: -115, Fatima Kline -5.5: -115 Fatima Kline -5.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5: -375, Under 2.5: 270 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fatima Kline -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 159%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 159% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fatima Kline to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Fatima Kline wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds


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Michael Morales vs. Sean Brady Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michael Morales vs Sean Brady – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States

Game Overview

This is a high-stakes Welterweight main card bout at UFC 322, pitting undefeated striker Michael Morales against dominant grappler Sean Brady. Morales brings explosive power and reach, while Brady is known for relentless grappling and submission prowess. The fight is expected to be a clash of styles, with Morales favored by some analysts to win by early stoppage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michael Morales is undefeated with first-round knockouts over veterans Gilbert Burns and Neil Magny, showcasing elite striking and physical strength. Sean Brady has won three straight, including a submission over former champion Leon Edwards, but has faced more grapplers recently.
  • No prior H2H matchup exists between Morales and Brady.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place at Madison Square Garden, a high-profile venue, which may increase pressure and motivation for both fighters.
  • Morales is looking to solidify his status as a top contender, while Brady aims to rebound from recent losses to strong grapplers and prove his versatility.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michael Morales 112, Sean Brady -133 Michael Morales ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Michael Morales 3.5 -170, Sean Brady -3.5 130 Michael Morales 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -175, Under 2.5 135 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michael Morales 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michael Morales at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Morales by 2nd Round TKO

Predicted Score: Michael Morales wins by TKO in Round 2


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Roman Kopylov vs. Gregory Rodrigues Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: New York City

Game Overview

Roman Kopylov faces Gregory Rodrigues in a middleweight bout at UFC 322. Rodrigues enters as the betting favorite, with strong recent form and a higher strike output, while Kopylov is a dangerous finisher but coming off a loss to Paulo Costa.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodrigues lands 5.54 significant strikes per minute at a 51% accuracy rate, compared to Kopylov's 4.74 per minute at 50%. Rodrigues averages 8:29 fight time, indicating a tendency for early finishes, while Kopylov averages 11:43. Rodrigues recently scored a first-round KO over Jack Hermansson, while Kopylov lost a decision to Paulo Costa.
  • No previous meetings between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight is scheduled for the prelims, with no major venue or altitude factors affecting performance.
  • Rodrigues is on a two-fight win streak and looking to climb the rankings. Kopylov is seeking redemption after a loss to a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gregory Rodrigues: -185, Roman Kopylov: 154 Gregory Rodrigues Not available
Spread Gregory Rodrigues: -3.5, Roman Kopylov: 3.5 Gregory Rodrigues -3.5 Not available
Over/under Over: 1.5, Under: 1.5 Under 1.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gregory Rodrigues -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 66%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 66% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gregory Rodrigues by knockout in the first round.

Predicted Score: Gregory Rodrigues wins by KO in Round 1


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Jordan Vucenic vs. Torpal Merjoev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jordan Vucenic vs Torpal Merjoev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at The O2, London

Game Overview

Lightweight bout featuring Jordan Vucenic, a former Cage Warriors champion and UFC veteran, returning to London against rising Norwegian prospect Torpal 'Rambo' Merjoev. This is a main card clash at Cage Warriors 196 with significant implications for both fighters' careers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vucenic holds a 13-4 record with 6 submissions and 5 decision wins, demonstrating well-rounded striking and grappling. Merjoev is an undefeated 6-0 prospect with 2 submissions and 3 decisions, showing rapid development but limited high-level competition. Vucenic's experience advantage is substantial—he has fought at elite levels including the UFC, while Merjoev remains a rising prospect.
  • No previous matchup history. Merjoev views this as a significant step-up opportunity against an established veteran, while Vucenic is reasserting himself at the Cage Warriors level after UFC stint.
  • No injury information available in current data.
  • The bout takes place at The O2 in London, a venue where Vucenic has previously competed with legendary moments. Merjoev is traveling from Norway as a rising prospect seeking a career-defining victory. Vucenic's return to Cage Warriors after UFC experience signals motivation to reclaim prominence.
  • Vucenic is motivated to establish himself back in Cage Warriors after UFC exposure. Merjoev is highly motivated as this represents a breakthrough opportunity against elite-level competition. A Merjoev victory could fast-track title considerations, while Vucenic needs to demonstrate he remains a top-tier threat at this level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vucenic -600 | Merjoev +350 Jordan Vucenic ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jordan Vucenic -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jordan Vucenic at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jordan Vucenic to win via submission or decision. The former UFC fighter's superior experience, proven grappling (6 submissions), and veteran poise overcome Merjoev's undefeated record and youth advantage.

Predicted Score: Vucenic wins via submission (Round 2) or unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)


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Jawany Scott vs. Michelangelo Lupoli Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jawany Scott vs Michelangelo Lupoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Indigo at The O2, London

Game Overview

Flyweight/Bantamweight bout between Jawany Scott (UK, home fighter) and Michelangelo Lupoli (Italy, guest fighter) at Cage Warriors 196 in London. Scott is favored at -440 moneyline odds, reflecting home advantage and shorter winning streak for Lupoli.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michelangelo Lupoli is on a short winning streak but fighting as a guest competitor. Jawany Scott competes at home with local advantage. Historical data shows 68% win rate for domestic fighters in this promotion over the past 2 years, suggesting systematic home advantage.
  • No previous matchup history between Scott and Lupoli. First-time meeting creates uncertainty but eliminates predictable patterns.
  • No injury information available in provided data.
  • Home venue advantage significantly favors Scott. Lupoli faces potential judging bias as visiting fighter. Historical promotion data suggests 68% domestic fighter win rate, indicating possible selection of favorable matchups or consistent home advantage effects.
  • Scott fighting at home in London with moral advantage and crowd support. Lupoli has short winning streak providing confidence but faces psychological pressure of away fighting and potential bias concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Scott -440 | Lupoli +270 Jawany Scott ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jawany Scott -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jawany Scott at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jawany Scott wins via Decision

Predicted Score: Scott wins by Decision (likely unanimous or split decision given competitive bantamweight division)


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