Match Analysis: Miami Hurricanes vs NC State Wolfpack – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium
Game Overview
Miami Hurricanes host NC State Wolfpack in a pivotal ACC matchup. Miami enters as heavy favorites, with playoff hopes on the line, while NC State looks to upset and salvage their season after a recent win over Georgia Tech.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami averages 32.9 points per game and allows just 15.0 points per game, showing strong offensive consistency and elite defense. NC State averages 57.5 points per game but allows 36+ points in three straight games, ranking near the bottom nationally in total and passing defense.
- Miami has won 12 of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams at home. NC State has lost five of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL, with favorable weather conditions (78Β°F, 0% rain). Miami has a strong home-field advantage, especially against unranked opponents.
- Miami is fighting for playoff contention and cannot afford a loss. NC State is motivated after an upset win but faces a much tougher opponent with more to play for.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -700, away: 500 | Miami Hurricanes | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | home: -15.5 -112, away: 15.5 -108 | Miami Hurricanes -15.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: 55.5 -108, under: 55.5 -112 | Over 55.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami Hurricanes 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 55.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami Hurricanes to win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total points line.
Predicted Score: 42-24