Match Analysis: Sam Gilley vs Ishmael Davis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom
Game Overview
The super welterweight clash between Sam Gilley and Ishmael Davis features Davis as the favorite with odds of -330 versus Gilley's +245. Gilley holds a strong record of 18-1-1 with a higher knockout percentage (50%) compared to Davis's 13-3-0 and 46% KO ratio. Davis is favored due to recent form and battlefield momentum, but Gilleyβs experience and power provide a credible upset potential.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sam Gilley has an 18-1-1 record with 9 KOs and consistent performances but fewer recent knockouts. Ishmael Davis holds a 13-3 record with 6 KOs, though he has struggled recently with three losses in close or late-notice fights, showing some vulnerability despite being favored.
- No direct previous bouts between Gilley and Davis, but Gilley's longer professional career and more fights (114 rounds vs 97 rounds) lend him slight experience advantage.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
- The bout occurs at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a major venue possibly favoring the well-prepared favorite Davis. Davis has had a rough streak but fights motivated by British and Commonwealth title implications, increasing competitiveness.
- Davis aims to cement himself on a grander stage after late-notice tough losses, while Gilley, the underdog, is motivated to capitalize on power and experience to upset the favorite and claim titles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +245, away: -330 | Ishmael Davis | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: +245, away: -330 | Ishmael Davis -1.5 rounds | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Over 7.5 rounds | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ishmael Davis -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Ishmael Davis at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ishmael Davis to win by KO/TKO
Predicted Score: Ishmael Davis wins by KO in round 8