Match Analysis: Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan Wolverines – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
The No. 21 Michigan Wolverines (7-2) face the Northwestern Wildcats (5-4) in a Big Ten matchup at a neutral site, Wrigley Field. Michigan enters as heavy favorites with a strong defense and a slight edge in recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Michigan has a solid 7-2 record with the nation's 13th-ranked scoring defense and an average implied scoring around 31 points per game. Northwestern stands at 5-4 with a strong 21st-ranked scoring defense but struggles offensively.
- Michigan and Northwestern have a competitive history but Michigan holds the upper hand in recent encounters and overall conference strength.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups or key defensive units.
- The game is played at Wrigley Field in Chicago, which is a neutral and possibly challenging outdoor venue late in the season, favoring the more disciplined Michigan team.
- Michigan aims to solidify its playoff positioning with a crucial conference road win, while Northwestern seeks to upset an elite team to boost its bowl eligibility prospects.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan: -485, Northwestern: +370 | Michigan | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Michigan: -108, Northwestern: -112 | Michigan -12.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 40.5: -115, Under 40.5: -105 | Over 40.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan Wolverines 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 40.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 40.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michigan Wolverines to win straight up on the moneyline, covering the 12.5-point spread, and the total points to go over 40.5.
Predicted Score: Michigan 34 – Northwestern 17